#Plan] - My personal plan until 3/2025.
Regarding cash flow during this period leading up to the Lunar New Year, I will still rely on history:
ETH eco ($ETH pump -> L2 + lending, restaking) -> AI season (besides AI, trends in low-cap and newly listed coins after the Lunar New Year will gradually pump) -> meme season.
There are two difficult points to discuss in this plan:
- Will the wave in Q1/2025 last longer than in previous years or will a “super cycle” occur during this period?
- Will the double peak model, as seen in the previous cycle, repeat? Meaning, after the wave at the beginning of 2025, will $BTC reach a new peak by the end of 2025?
The two questions above pose a risk, so I will try to minimize the risks from these two questions by decisively cutting most of my positions in March 2025, and if I want to take a chance at the end of 2025, I should reinvest with a smaller amount.
Besides the 2025 plan, there is another question: “Will there be a drop before the Lunar New Year?”
To address this question, I will hold 20% in $USDT during the period of 10-15/1/2025. If there is indeed a correction, I will use that 20% to buy back. If it continues to rise, then the remaining 80% will be sufficient.
P/s: This is my personal opinion. The more I experience, the more I care about “risk management.”