#“圣诞老人行情”再现
In the vast universe of cryptocurrency, BTC and ETH are as dazzling as twin stars, and their every pulse touches the hearts of countless investors. Today, the market is changing again. Let us explore the story behind it, feel the emotional fluctuations of the market, and find the light of our own strategy.
Market undercurrents behind the data
Today, the market received a remarkable piece of news: Bitcoin's most enthusiastic fan, BlackRock, once again chose a large net outflow. The overall data of BTC's spot ETF showed a net outflow trend, totaling up to 3567.33 coins, which has been a net outflow for four consecutive days! This scene seems to indicate the market's uneasiness and hesitation.
However, unlike the volatility of Bitcoin, Ethereum appears to be relatively stable. The large amount of stockpiling the day before yesterday and the net inflow of 15,700 coins yesterday seem to tell us that in this turbulent ocean, Ethereum may be the beacon that stands firm.
Christmas Market Suspense
As Christmas approaches, the market opening time is also quietly approaching. At 07:00 on December 27th, Beijing time, we will usher in the baptism of the market again. And the delivery of CME's December contract will also be staged on time at 0:00 on the 28th, which undoubtedly adds more uncertainty to the market.
At this moment, the United States is immersed in the party atmosphere of the New Year's Eve. Does the net outflow of ETFs indicate that the opening of the US stock market after Christmas will face challenges? Whether the market is stable or not has become a lingering question in our minds.
In-depth analysis of market trends
Looking back at yesterday, the price of 94,000 seems to be still in front of us, but the market trend did not soar all the way to 100,000 as we expected. The second exploration in 4 hours failed to bring a decent rebound, but instead, it rose by 7,000 dollars without any positive news! The altcoins also rebounded, and many of them rose by more than 10 points, including tokens related to Grayscale + Trump family.
During the rebound, we mentioned two important points: one is the rebound opportunity brought by the technical daily line returning to the zero axis; the other is the difficulty of receiving chips due to the trading psychology of "everyone is waiting for 90,000 chips". Therefore, we recommend that investors enter the market and hold 30% of the bottom position, and be alert to the possible further decline.
Now, the second red column of the 3-day line has appeared, and within 6-12 hours, the market may complete a BOLL box-shaped oscillating callback. This means that the main decline may still occur within the day and tomorrow, but panic selling may not follow, and it will be more of a box-shaped oscillating decline.
Is the spring of altcoins far away?
Faced with the decline of mainstream coins, will altcoins fall into trouble again? We don’t think so. Despite the fierce decline this time, the market value of altcoins has only returned to the stage of pulling up in December, and it is still strong compared to November. The spiral rise in January is even more exciting. Therefore, we have reason to believe that the market next month will not be bad.
The wisdom of strategic layout
In such a market environment, how should we plan? Continuing yesterday's point of view, investors who enter the spot market can hold their base positions unchanged; while contract investors can consider short-term high-altitude operations today and tomorrow. After all, the market that pulls $7,000 a day does not happen every day, and seizing the opportunity to operate at a high altitude may bring good returns.
For Ethereum, the drop of 4100 is indeed painful, but every drop of more than 25 points takes time to repair. Therefore, investors holding 3200 spot can wait for the opportunity; and investors who want to make a layout can go short in the range of 3550-3650. Remember, investors without spot must take stop loss orders to avoid losses caused by carrying orders.
Finally, we want to say: the market is risky and investment should be cautious. But as long as we stay calm, analyze rationally, and plan flexibly, we will be able to ride the wind and waves and move forward steadily in this ocean of cryptocurrency!
#萨尔瓦多将“加速”增持BTC
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