Technical analysis and review

  1. Yesterday's trend review
    Yesterday, the ETH price showed signs of rebound at a low level, with the MA7 moving average turning upward, and the price re-establishing above key moving averages (such as MA30), indicating a certain rebound demand in the short term. However, the overall trend remains bearish, and the long-term MA100 moving average is still in a suppressive state. The price has not broken through MA100 (around 3698), indicating that the rebound has not yet strengthened.

  1. Current pattern interpretation

    • K-line pattern: Currently oscillating in the 3450-3500 range, showing characteristics of a rebound with a long lower shadow, but the overhead selling pressure is heavy, and the rebound space may be limited.

    • MACD indicator: On the 4-hour chart, DIF and DEA are gradually approaching the zero axis, but a golden cross has not yet formed. The bearish momentum bar has significantly weakened, indicating that bearish strength is gradually declining, which is favorable for a short-term rebound.

    • Bollinger Bands: The middle band (around 3480) forms short-term resistance. If the price can effectively break through this range, it is expected to challenge the upper band (around 3600); if blocked, it may retest the lower band (around 3300).

    • RSI indicator: RSI is between 40-50, showing that market sentiment is still relatively cautious, but there is some rebound momentum.

Today's operation suggestions

  1. Long position operation

    • Entry range: 3300-3320

    • Target 1: 3450

    • Target 2: 3500

    • Stop-loss level: 3250

    Logic: If the price retests the strong support area around 3300, a light position can be attempted for a long, targeting short-term resistance levels of 3450-3500.

Current market sentiment is relatively cautious, with prices oscillating in the 3450-3500 range. In the short term, it is more likely to see range consolidation or a weak rebound. If the rebound cannot break through 3500, there will still be a need for a pullback later. Conversely, if it breaks through 3550, the rebound strength may increase.

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