Recently, the small range retracement trading strategy we implemented has achieved certain results in the market. Although the trading frequency has decreased compared with Saturday, investors can still gain certain benefits from it.
Looking back at the weekend, we have pointed out that the market showed a trend of slight fluctuation and weakening. This morning, against the background of the Nasdaq futures opening high and going high, the BTC price failed to follow, but instead hit a recent low of 93,600, which has fallen below the lower edge of the large range of 94,000-107,000 that we had previously predicted. In the analysis on the 21st, we have clearly pointed out that when the BTC price is close to or below the lower edge of the range of 94,000, the success rate of long operations will be relatively high.
In the afternoon, the Nasdaq futures gave up some of the gains after rising, while BTC showed a certain degree of independence, and the price showed a slight rebound trend. However, it is worth noting that the high opening and high movement of the Nasdaq futures is not a positive signal for the market. If its gains continue until the opening of the US stock market, the probability of a high rise and fall is relatively high. On the contrary, if the Nasdaq futures show a trend of opening low and going low, it may trigger a rebound from bottoming out.
In view of the current BTC market situation, we make the following suggestions:
1. For investors who are long near 94,000 in the morning, they can consider reducing or closing positions in the range of 96,400-97,400 to lock in profits.
2. It is recommended to arrange short operations near 97,300, with a stop loss point set at 98,900 and a target price near 94,000. For investors with higher risk appetite, they can consider shorting with a small position near 96,500. If the price rises further to 97,300, they can increase their positions and short, with the same stop loss point as above. However, it should be noted that the overall position needs to be effectively controlled.
3. If the BTC price falls back to around 94,000 or below, investors can still pay attention to long opportunities.
In summary, the current crypto market is still in a consolidation phase, and there is uncertainty in the BTC price trend. Investors should pay close attention to market trends and combine technical analysis and risk management strategies to make rational investment decisions.