After reaching a new ATH at 108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the 100k level again.
The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around 91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend.
If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above 91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high.
In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above 96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation.
The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above 96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon.
Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the 91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the 100k area or even beyond.
2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the 91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower.
Conclusion
The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above 96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near
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