The Federal Reserve does not own BTC, but many people mistakenly believe that the U.S. no longer reserves BTC. What is going on?
In fact, Bitcoin ETFs and Ethereum ETFs have been aggressively buying BTC, immediately pulling it back up when it drops, clearly not wanting to give away chips for free. The reason BTC has dropped is fundamentally that it has risen too much.
If the price were $80,000 now, the market might not react so strongly.
The dot plot of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts is actually just a tool to modify people's expectations, rather than to implement those expectations.
The Fed's interest rate cut strategy must be accompanied by specific economic data, and no one can accurately predict economic data.
If you predict correctly, you will feel it is effective; if you predict incorrectly, you will feel it is ineffective.
So when the Fed says this, it is to prevent people from making certain profits and not wanting fools to make money.
They want to leave some operational space for Trump when he takes office; if Bitcoin rises to $130,000 now, how much could it rise after Trump takes office? At least it needs to rise 50%-100% after Trump takes office to sufficiently prove that his policies are effective.
Next year, the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates directly 3-4 times, catching you off guard and preventing you from making huge profits. By the time you react, ordinary people can only pick up the scraps. This is a friendly gift from the Fed to Trump.
However, Bitcoin has always had its cyclical patterns; if it rises too much, it will definitely fall. The bull market cycle patterns will remain unchanged.
I predict the bull market will last about another 5 months; this bull market will definitely be magnificent, and the real crazy surge will happen in the last 2 months before the bull market ends, at which point mainstream altcoins will double within a week.
Whether you can make money depends on your own ability. Go to the comments section and share your thoughts!