#比特币市场波动观察

$BTC

In this round of bull market cycle, there are 4 waves of main upward trends.

The first wave, from January to April 2023, lasted for 4 months and completely emerged from the bear market cycle;

The second wave, from mid-October 2023 to mid-March 2024, will last for 5 months and kick off a small bull market,

A small number of people have captured many airdrops and opportunities for dozens or even over a hundred times returns in brc20 and inscriptions.

In February to March, there will be another wave of Depin and AI meme market on Sol, which is the first wave of this cycle with profitable effects.

The third wave, from mid-October 2024 to now, may continue until February to April next year, focusing on new opportunities in sectors.

Recently, after communicating with friends in the studio, many people have incurred losses in the past few months, mainly for three reasons:

1. BTC has been shorting all the way, resulting in liquidation or serious resistance.

2. Full position in junk altcoins, getting hit multiple times when switching, and stop-lossing repeatedly.

3. Heavy positions in memes, especially some new meme coins, with several rounds of 70% cuts.

Buffett once said, if you are not willing to hold a stock for ten years, then do not hold it for even a day. If a coin does not have a logic for long-term holding, participating in short-term speculation will likely lead to being cut. If you do long-term investment, these coins are far inferior to Bitcoin and Ethereum, and also not as good as the leading sectors, so some junk altcoins have little investment and trading value, and it is best not to touch them in the long term, otherwise there will be a risk of missing out on a bull market.

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