1. Review of yesterday and technical background

From yesterday's trend, WLD price underwent a fluctuating rebound, with a minimum of 1.9358, followed by a gradual rise and closing at 2.3756. The intraday rebound mainly relied on the support of the hourly MA7 moving average, while also showing the intention of bulls trying to stabilize at lower levels. However, the price is still under pressure from medium to long-term moving averages such as MA30 (2.2312) and MA100 (2.5009), and the mid-term trend dominated by bears has not changed.

Yesterday's rebound had strength, but the frequent appearance of upper shadows indicates that selling pressure above is still strong. Key points in the struggle between bulls and bears need to be closely monitored in the short term.

2. Today's technical analysis

1. Support and resistance levels

  • First support level: 2.300 (the lower edge of yesterday's short-term fluctuating consolidation range)

  • Second support level: 2.200 (resonance support at the middle band of the Bollinger Band and the previous rebound low point)

  • First resistance level: 2.450 (the current candlestick is close to the upper Bollinger Band, near MA100 moving average pressure)

  • Second resistance level: 2.500 (important psychological level and MA100 moving average resistance)

2. Interpretation of technical indicators

  • Moving average system:

    • The short-term MA7 moving average is trending upwards, providing support for the price, but MA30 and MA100 moving averages remain on a downward trend, indicating that the mid-term bearish pattern has not changed.

  • MACD indicator:

    • The hourly MACD has formed a golden cross above the zero line, with bulls increasing volume, but the histogram length is gradually shortening, indicating that the rebound momentum may weaken.

    • The four-hour MACD is still below the zero line, with bulls not fully reversing their volume, and the continuity of the rebound needs to be monitored.

  • RSI indicator:

    • The hourly RSI value is close to 65, in a relatively high range, indicating a short-term risk of overbought pullback.

    • The four-hour RSI hovers around 50, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears.

  • Bollinger Band channel:

    • The hourly Bollinger Band is slightly expanding, with the price currently running near the upper band. If it fails to break through, it may retest the middle band support.

    • The four-hour Bollinger Band channel remains downward, indicating that the overall trend is still bearish.

3. Today's operational advice

According to current technical indicators and market dynamics, WLD may exhibit a short-term weak fluctuation today, but if it can effectively break above 2.450, it may further test the resistance at 2.500. It is recommended to respond flexibly in operations, combining both bullish and bearish strategies.

1. Shorting strategy (main strategy)

  • Entry range: 2.420-2.450 (lightly short near resistance level)

  • Target level:

    • First target level: 2.350

    • Second target level: 2.300

  • Stop-loss level: 2.480 (stop-loss upon breaching key resistance level)

2. Long strategy (auxiliary strategy)

  • Entry range: 2.300-2.320 (lightly go long near the support level)

  • Target level:

    • First target level: 2.400

    • Second target level: 2.450

  • Stop-loss level: 2.270 (stop-loss if it breaks strong support level)

WLD's short-term rebound momentum is weakening, and bulls need to break the resistance at 2.450 to open the upward space; if unable to break effectively, the price is expected to retest 2.300 or even lower. Based on yesterday's rebound trend and current technical indicators, today's strategy is centered on 'mainly short at high, with long at low as a supplement.'

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