Bonk analysis

The market cap of Solana meme coin Bonk (BONK) has dropped by $1.8 billion within the last 30 days. This drawdown came amid the token 34.11% price decrease.

For some, the decline provides a good buying opportunity that the market has not seen in a while. However, this on-chain analysis suggests that accumulating BONK at the current price could be a risky decision.

Bonk Loses Huge Gains to the Market

Market cap is calculated as the product of a cryptocurrency’s circulating supply and its price. On November 20, Bonk’s market cap was $4.35 billion. The meme coin rallied to this value as its price joined the broader market rally to reach $0.000058.

As of this writing, the market cap has dropped to $2.55 billion, indicating that it has shed $1.80 billion from its peak in November. This decline was due to BONK’s price fall from $0.000058 to $0.000034.

The drop could also be attributed to the broader invalidation of the altcoin season, which has also affected the price of several meme coins. Should the market condition fail to improve, BONK might also struggle to recoup the gains it has lost.

Bonk Market Cap. Source: Santiment

Another metric hinting at further declines for BONK is the Weighted Sentiment, which combines social volume with the tone of online discussions about a cryptocurrency.

When the metric is negative, it indicates dominance of bearish conversations across social media platforms. Conversely, a positive metric suggests a higher volume of bullish commentary.

Data from Santiment shows that the Solana meme coin has remained in the negative region since November 22. This persistent bearish sentiment suggests the meme coin’s value may continue to drop under current conditions.

Bonk Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment BONK Price Prediction: Drawdown Not Over

Based on the daily chart, BONK’s price has dropped below the $0.000035 support. Previously, this support zone was vital to the token’s bounce to its all-time high in November.

But in this case, the decline suggests that the BONK correction is not over. As it stands, it appears that bears are in control even as volume continues to slide. If this remains the case, and bulls continue to remain on the sidelines, the meme coin’s value might drop to $0.000025.

Bonk Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the flip side, if bulls can defend the value from going under $0.000030, this trend might change. In that scenario, BONK could jump to $0.000042. In a highly bullish scenario, the  BONK market cap could reclaim $4 billion, and the price could rise toward $0.000065.