[The current probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points for the first time in 2025 is only 8.6%] Golden Finance reported that updated data from CME's "Fed Watch" showed that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged at its next meeting (also the first meeting in 2025) is 91.4%, and the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is only 8.6%.