After old Powell's speech triggered a major drop, the Eastern countries have woken up. The Japanese economy has no rate hike expectations, and the market rebound is tepid, indicating that Asian funds can no longer reverse the trend. This is the result of multiple 'wolf is coming' warnings.

This year's peak may have already been reached. As for where it will retrace to, when it will start rising next year, we can wait until January to study it slowly. The next relatively ideal high point is around 108,000. There is also Christmas coming up, so position management needs to be well done. As long as the market does not experience a flash crash, short-term corrections are beneficial for the long-term bull market development. After all, some profit-taking investors will choose to cash out, making the vehicle lighter.

The January market for Bitcoin looks promising.

Today, regarding interest rate cuts and old Powell's speech, I believe everyone has already learned a lot, so I won’t elaborate further. Let’s mainly talk about the subsequent market.

Currently, there is no need to be too pessimistic. In January, Trump will take office again. This time, he doesn’t seem like before, with the Senate returning to him. Some future matters will be much easier to promote. Today, old Powell stated that the Fed does not have the qualification to buy Bitcoin and does not wish to seek legal reforms to promote it. However, if Trump insists on pushing for strategic reserves, it’s not impossible for the US to establish Bitcoin reserves. Therefore, the negative news we see today may actually be future positive news.

Additionally, in January, there is also FTX compensation, with this year’s compensation being $16 billion or a certain amount of fiat currency, which will flow back into the crypto space. Coupled with the resumption of the US ETF, it can be seen that the January market is still worth looking forward to. Therefore, this pit will most likely be dug at the end of December or the beginning of January. This time point is worth paying attention to for the funds that escaped the peak.

But note that although January next year is worth looking forward to, we must not let our guard down. The market cycle is highly volatile, and investors need to pay attention to risk control. Recently, there are only low liquidity periods like Christmas and New Year left. Be patient and wait for bottom-fishing opportunities!

Altcoins

When Bitcoin rises, altcoins fall! When Bitcoin falls, altcoins continue to fall! This is the true reflection of the market in the past few days:

However, everyone does not need to be too anxious. As long as Bitcoin does not return to 30,000 points, this round of the market will definitely not end. The current time point is just not the explosive period for altcoins. Therefore, I suggest that those holding altcoins be patient. As long as your altcoins have listed on major exchanges, the project team is still working, and the direction aligns with market demand, then there is no problem. In fact, during a bull market, quality altcoins can achieve a curve overtaking against Bitcoin.

Currently, the market is declining, and everyone is asking whether they should bottom fish. I believe there is no rush to act. A phased layout strategy can be adopted—buying a lot on big drops, a little on small drops, and not buying when it doesn’t drop.

As for what can be bottom-fished in the current market, still look for previously strong narratives that have not landed.

I am optimistic about the market after Trump takes office from January to March next year. For stability, still focus on mainstream coins like ETH, BNB, and SOL.

Or choose Trump family tokens:

ONDO has been strong recently. You can say that yesterday's drop had basically no impact. Today it has recovered to 1.9. This coin is basically at zero cost now; I will continue to look towards 3. There are still opportunities to enter.

I wanted to get into AAVE a couple of days ago. After the high-level consolidation, the adjustment yesterday provided a perfect opportunity to enter. Previously I placed an order at 345 and got filled, currently at a floating loss, but it’s not a big deal; I will continue to buy in batches at 315.

For public chains, choose some well-established ones with good popularity, such as APT, SOL, SUI.

ADA is also good, having formed a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour chart, briefly piercing below it. Since a significant bottom divergence has appeared on the 4-hour level, I personally believe this head and shoulders pattern will not break down. Correspondingly, near the neckline is a high cost-performance bottoming position.

As mentioned before, every major drop is a good opportunity to intervene, and today is no exception. We are in a bull market cycle, but the market characteristic this year is that it is fast, accurate, and ruthless; the upward rally is quick, and the downward sell-off is also fast. Because there is no innovation or new narrative driving it, it is difficult for the market to sustain. Everyone needs to adapt to this rhythm.

As for the position, it still depends on everyone's habits to manage it well. If the allocation is insufficient, you might as well choose part of the options above to layout. As long as the fundamentals and projects are still operational, time will give you the answer and some wealth.