When will Bitcoin's current bull market peak?
K33 indicates that "the market is very likely to have unrealistic expectations regarding the speed of policy changes and has overestimated the impact of the inauguration... We expect Bitcoin's rally to peak in mid-January before Trump's inauguration and believe this area is a natural region to reduce risk and achieve short-term profits."
Data analytics company CCData's latest research indicates that Bitcoin typically peaks 371 to 546 days after the most recent 'halving' event, with the last 'halving' occurring this April. "This estimate provides two scenarios: one is the baseline scenario, expecting Bitcoin to peak in early Q2 next year, and the other is the bull market scenario, expecting the asset's highest price to peak in November next year.
However, K33 believes that the relative impact of Bitcoin halving is becoming less significant, as Bitcoin is being adopted at the institutional level.
2025 is definitely a frenzied bull market; some meme coins without hot topics casually have market values in the hundreds of millions. So what if it’s a meme with sufficient narrative and a strong community? A market cap of tens of billions shouldn't be excessive, right? The token named after Musk's beloved dog currently has a market cap of only around ten million, representing at least a hundredfold profit!
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