1. The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, in line with market expectations, and is expected to have only two rate cuts next year.
2. The Federal Reserve significantly raised the median target range for future policy rates, while also increasing inflation expectations for next year and the year after.
3. Powell stated that the U.S. economy is performing strongly, the labor market is cooling but still robust, and inflation is close to the 2% target.
4. The average monthly increase in non-farm employment over the past three months was 173,000, and the unemployment rate in November was 4.2%, which is at a relatively low level.
5. The Federal Reserve has lowered the policy rate by 100 basis points from its peak, and the policy stance is clearly less tight.
6. The PCE inflation expectation for this year is 2.4%, and for next year, it is 2.5%, higher than the September forecast, and then it will drop to the 2% target.
7. The Federal Reserve hinted at slowing down or pausing the pace of rate cuts, with future policy adjustments being more cautious.
8. The expected federal funds rate by the end of next year is 3.9%, and by the end of 2026 is 3.4%, higher than the September forecast.
9. The Federal Reserve will decide on the future magnitude and timing of rate cuts based on economic data, changes in outlook, and risk balance.
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