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2024.12.19 Bitcoin (BTC) latest market analysis: The current price of Bitcoin is 102,000, it is now 4:20 AM Beijing time, Powell has just finished speaking, the main force takes the opportunity to liquidate the longs, Bitcoin is back above the 100,000 mark. Yesterday, I mentioned that the greed index soared to 87, many fans do not understand that every time the greed index exceeds 85, there is a high probability that the main force will liquidate. Although the layout near 108,000 eventually took profits at 104,100, that’s okay, 3,900 points is already good enough. Looking at the current market, the daily K-line’s highest is 106,130 and the lowest reached 100,800, just right for a pullback to the EMA15 trendline support point of 101,000. Pay attention to the next EMA30 key support point, which is also the long position trial point at 97,000. Just set a stop-loss well for defense. As long as the pullback does not break 103,000 before the 8 AM close, then the MACD contraction will become a certainty, and the DIF and DEA will form dead cross. The main force will most likely move sideways around the 100,000 mark, and the greater the depth of the pullback, the more space for the bulls. Under the condition that the large-scale trend does not change, all pullbacks should be treated as bait for shorts.

The four-hour K-line has three consecutive bearish candles, reaching the EMA90 trend support point at 101,000. Friends who placed orders here should remember to set a stop-loss of 300 points; safety comes first. Pay attention to the EMA120 key support at 99,750. Those who have not entered can try positions here. The MACD has continuously contracted and is declining, with the DIF and DEA spreading downwards close to the 0 axis. The overall trend is clearly short clearing longs. The main force is taking profits near 108,000 and reversing to pick up positions. In terms of strategy, wait for clear support before starting to go long, while aggressive traders can take short positions when it looks good, and can do short-term trades after encountering resistance during pullbacks.

Short-term strategy reference: The market is not 100% certain, so always set stop-losses; safety first. The goal is to minimize losses and maximize profits.

Long position trial points at 99,000 and 98,000, with a defense at 97,000 and a stop-loss of 500 points, targeting 100,000 to 101,500, and if broken, looking at 102,000 to 103,000.

Short position trial points at 102,500 to 103,000, with a stop-loss of 500 points, targeting 102,000 to 101,000, and if broken, looking at the 100,000 mark.

#圣诞行情预测 Please base specific operations on real-time market data. For more information, you can consult the author. The article may have delays in publication, so it is recommended for reference only, with risks borne by the reader.