BlockBeats news, on December 19, financial website Forexlive analyst Adam Button: The median interest rate forecast for 2025 from the Federal Reserve's economic projections summary in September is 3.4%, down from the 4.1% forecast in June. This situation is likely to reverse in December, at least to some extent. The federal funds futures market expects the interest rate to be 3.84% by the end of 2025, which is almost exactly prepared for two more rate cuts next year.
One of the meetings may take place in March, while the second may occur in July or September. It would not be surprising if the median forecast for the Federal Reserve's interest rates remains unchanged or rises to a level consistent with market pricing. If the dot plot only shows one further rate cut, it would be a hawkish surprise that could cause market volatility. (Jin Ten)
