【The probability of the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 95.4%】According to Jinse Finance, based on CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until December is 4.6%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 95.4%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 3.8%, while the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 79.9%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 16.3%.