VanEck Executive Predicts: Bitcoin Could Soar to $180,000 by 2025

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Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, recently stated that if market top indicators remain stable, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to reach $180,000 by 2025. He noted that Bitcoin has displayed a clear price pattern during its four-year halving cycle: rising in the first two years, experiencing a significant increase in the third year, and pulling back in the fourth year.

Why is the $180,000 target reasonable?

Sigel analyzed the historical cycles of Bitcoin, noting that after each halving, Bitcoin typically sees several-fold increases from the cycle's bottom. He pointed out that:

Even if the increase is reduced to 1000%, Bitcoin could still surge from its low of approximately $18,000 in 2022 to $180,000. With the halving occurring in April 2024, strong growth is expected in 2024 and 2025, while a significant pullback may occur in 2026.

Sigel also cautioned that the market is highly volatile, and BTC prices could be above or below this target, but derivatives financing rates, on-chain unrealized profits, and retail speculation enthusiasm are key risk indicators.

Long-term outlook: BTC could reach $3 million

Sigel also explored the long-term potential of Bitcoin:

Compared to gold market value: if BTC's market value reaches half of gold's investment value, the price could reach $450,000.

Central bank reserves and global settlement currency: Assuming global central banks allocate 2% of their reserves to BTC, or use Bitcoin for trade settlements between emerging economies (such as BRICS), BTC's price could soar to $3 million by 2050, with a compound annual growth rate of 16%.

Sigel concluded that there is immense room for growth in Bitcoin's future, with the $180,000 target being realistic in the short term, while long-term prospects could propel it to become a global store of value and settlement tool.

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