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Bullish
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#ETHBTC
bullish 4H
move
. Should take momentum from that impulse to take it higher. If grow above 0.4076 that will be a bullish reversal confirmation.
#ETH
#Ethereum
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 The #Bitcoin Strategic Reserve has been officially signed. But as I expected, it only includes crypto that the US government has already seized from Silk Road and other sources. This doesn’t mean they won’t buy more over time—just as they can sell at any moment. However, it does mark a new reality: crypto has now been acknowledged at the government level. A significant historical event. The market’s reaction? A $BTC dump to February’s close. I won’t claim to have predicted the exact move, but the bearish target was spot on 👌🏼 The market still looks highly uncertain. I’d rather stay out of this range until BTC either breaks above yesterday’s high (~92780) or drops below Tuesday’s low (~81200). Whichever direction it takes will set the stage for the next big move. Stocks have been dumping and are now at support. The Dollar Index has been dropping even harder and is also at support. Flip a coin—you’ll get the same accuracy as any TA expert right now. BTC nearest targets: ⬆️ Bullish move: A breakout above 92780 could push the price to the developing decade VWAP VAH3 around 96500-97500 ⬇️ Bearish move: A drop below 81200 could trigger a cascade down to 76000 / 73900 / 71000 Liquidation heatmap: • Above: 89428 / 91381 / 92140 / 93401 • Below: 87207 / 85165 / 84455 / 83700
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ADA/BTC weekly chart for understanding the bigger picture. ADA got back above 2024 close, while leaving W FVG behind (and even bigger gap if zoom in). Since pump is caused by rumors of #Cardano being included in Reserves, there should be "sell the news" effect as well. So that week gap should be a tasty spot to watch ADA/USDT for buy opportunity. ⏰ I'm setting alarm for ADABTC at 0.*903 (2024 close) - will appear in my Free TG. Where $ADA will be in USDT value at that moment mostly depend on BTC, as none of altcoins have their own value outside of Bitcoin world.
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📉 Bitcoin Daily 📈 $BTC nearly reached the developing weekly 20-SMA, which now aligns with the 2024 close 👌🏼. I won’t make a prediction on whether it will break out or not—it’s a 50/50 scenario. If it breaks above Sunday’s high, I’ll turn bullish again. If it gets rejected, I’ll be watching for a pullback to the "bottom" of this bear flag range, which could lead to another downward impulse. Yesterday, stock indices closed with a bullish engulfing candle, making the charts look promising for a dead cat bounce after 12 days of constant decline. The only concern is the Dollar Index, which has been bearish for four days in a row but is now approaching a critical support level that could trigger a bounce. So, the situation remains tricky. The news flow for crypto is bullish—SEC is dropping cases, and Trump is set to announce a Crypto Reserve tomorrow. If stocks hadn’t been dumping for nearly two weeks, Bitcoin could be much higher by now. #Bitcoin nearest Targets: ⬆️ Bullish move: breakout above 2024 close and re-test of developing decade VWAP VAH3, which should correlate with 1H FVG around 97300 ⬇️ Bearish move: A drop back to the trendline or lower to February’s close at 84300 Liquidation heatmap: • Above: 93370 / 93700 / 95175 / 97695 • Below: 91237 / 90663 / 89680 / 88450
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This and next month could be decisive for #Ethereum 2021 low is just around the corner. February didn't wick below that level, but it is hard to imagine $ETH won't do that last dip. Maybe the last. Next month mainnet upgrade. Current SR level has history since 2017 (yes, that old), so combining two events together, could be a perfect bottom.
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Today #Ethena unlock over 66% from circulation supply! The only thing that might stop them from selling is that $ENA is down by 71% from last swing high and maybe they'll be ok to wait a few months more till it grow higher. Certainly, now is not the best moment to sell anything. So there is a chance that this bearish event/news will have a delayed effect. But I am sure, sooner or later these 66% will find their FOMO buyers. My recommendation is to stay away from it. And wait for a short opportunity where volume on the bounce exceed what we saw on the dips.
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