Summary of the Morning Market Analysis:

Historical Highs Conceal Concerns:

Although it has climbed to a historic high today, this round of increase is not purely due to a surge of funds but rather achieved through a combination of market sentiment and accumulation of long positions, which is clearly not a stable and healthy upward trend.

Shanzhai Weakness Shows Lackluster Performance:

The Shanzhai phenomenon has failed to effectively stimulate the market to generate widespread wealth appreciation effects, which fully demonstrates that market demand is rapidly declining, funding conditions are tightening, and this reflects a lack of driving force in the market.

Risks Hidden in the Market:

Within the harmonious market, there has already been a significant accumulation of long positions in the price range above 100,000, which undoubtedly reserves 'fuel' for a potential breakout. This significantly increases the difficulty of further price increases in the short term. Unless there is a massive influx of funds at the opening of the U.S. stock market, such a scenario is relatively rare given that it is the eve of Christmas.

Short-term Market Expectations:

Considering the current price level of 105,000, the likelihood of a short-term pullback to around 100,000 is quite high, but after the pullback, there remains the possibility of breaking through previous highs.

Current market sentiment is forming a 'torturous' situation for harmonious funds, and once there is a clear one-way concentration of funds, it is highly likely to trigger a large-scale market 'harvesting' trend.

Key Points for Risk Management:

Given the current limited volatility in the market, investors should maintain a cautious attitude. For those participating in the speculation of smaller cryptocurrencies, it is essential to set stop-loss levels to avoid being trapped at high market levels and thus prevent substantial losses due to market crashes.

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