In the 1990s, many dismissed the Internet as a passing fad. Today, the Internet has become the foundation of global commerce, communication, and culture. Bitcoin stands at a similar crossroads now, but its pace of development and potential impact are much greater.
Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has grown from a novelty to a global financial asset with a market cap of over $1 trillion. Backed by major companies like Tesla and institutional investment funds, Bitcoin reflects a broader shift in the financial landscape—a shift away from centralized intermediaries toward a system that gives individuals direct control over their wealth.
This shift is reminiscent of the early days of the Internet, but Bitcoin offers a fundamental change: a financial system that transcends borders and bureaucracy, and provides unprecedented freedom and security. However, we must remain measuredly optimistic. As with all great innovations, Bitcoin faces challenges: price volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and technological challenges. Its success depends on its ability to deliver tangible value and utility, not just speculative fervor.
Bitcoin is now at its peak for 2024, but in 2025, it is certain to cross the $110,000 to $140,000 barrier, cementing its position as the hub of global financial transformation.
The Realized Cap in the image simply shows the actual amount people have paid to buy Bitcoin over the years, rather than relying solely on the current price as in Market Cap. The basic idea here is to calculate the prices at which each Bitcoin was actually purchased, not just its current value.
To illustrate the idea with an example: Let's say someone bought 1 Bitcoin in 2015 for $500, and another person bought 2 Bitcoin in 2019 for $10,000 each. The realized value is the sum of the actual amounts paid. The first person paid $500, and the second person paid $20,000 (10,000 x 2), so the realized value = 500 + 20,000 = $20,500.
Market cap is based only on the current price. If the price of Bitcoin is now $101,000, the market cap is calculated as if everyone bought their Bitcoins at that current price, regardless of the historical prices.
The realized value gives a more realistic picture of the money that has actually entered the Bitcoin network, and reflects the real confidence of investors. In the chart, the blue line shows the increase in realized value over the years, now reaching $768 billion. This growth indicates that Bitcoin has become a strong and sustainable financial asset.
In short, realized value differs from market value because it reflects the real investment over time, rather than focusing solely on the current price. With the current price of Bitcoin at $101,000, the picture becomes clearer that Bitcoin is not just a speculative instrument but a cornerstone of a new financial system.
This reinforces the basic idea in several ways:
Proof of continued growth and adoption: The chart and value ($768 billion) show that Bitcoin is no longer a passing fad or speculative asset, but rather the product of sustained trust and real investment over time. Just as the internet in the 1990s seemed like a fledgling, uncertain idea, these numbers show how Bitcoin has become a linchpin of global financial change.
The difference between hype and reality: Rather than relying on current market value, which can be influenced by speculation, realized value shows the real money that has entered the Bitcoin network. This reflects a fundamental shift in the financial system, similar to the transformation that the Internet brought to the areas of commerce and communication.
Evidence of growing confidence: The data supports the idea that Bitcoin is not just a “fad.” The surge in value achieved, with its current price at $101,000, shows widespread adoption and growing trust from individuals and large corporations, making Bitcoin the foundation of a new financial system away from traditional intermediaries.
Future Prediction: The realized value and rapid growth support the prediction that Bitcoin will reach $110,000 - $140,000 in 2025. As happened with the Internet, we are witnessing the beginning of a major financial revolution that could change the entire economic landscape.
Frankly, this data leaves no doubt that Bitcoin is no longer just a speculative tool or a passing fad. We are witnessing the construction of a new financial system, and the value achieved is a living testimony to the growing confidence of investors in this digital asset. Bitcoin today is not just a financial asset, but a real pillar for changing the way money is managed in the world. And the possibilityBitcoin jumps above 200A is a matter of time.
Saif Abusrour's analysis
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