12.14 Weekend Truce Period, Shanzhai Recklessly Growing, Major Cryptocurrencies Lack Strength

The weekend is approaching, and the positions of many armies are officially returning. However, some major cryptocurrencies have temporarily risen enough to adjust during the turbulent period, focusing mainly on small cryptocurrencies while maintaining risk control.

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until December is 5.3%, with a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points having a probability of 94.7%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until January next year is 4.1%, with a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points having a probability of 73.7%, and a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points having a probability of 22.3%.

The technical rebound has appeared as expected, and now it has reached a critical pressure position. There is no need to panic for the time being; wait for opportunities to see if it will continue to test downward. If the larger level does not break down, then the subsequent trend will be a consolidation trend. What if it breaks down? Who knows.

BTC Daily - 4 Hour Level Market Analysis

Bitcoin's technical aspect has overall opened up space, and it has just encountered a critical pressure position. There is no need to panic for now; wait for opportunities to see if it will continue to test downward. If the large level does not break down, then the subsequent trend will be one of consolidation. If it breaks down, then who knows.

The four-hour level has begun to change again, with a stable upward logic. For the time being, it seems there is no end to the rise. The pressure point of the previous high above, with bottom support positions around 99500 and 101000.

ETH Shanzhai Small Level Analysis

· ETH has a particularly important point; the bottom around 3890 is a key support position. One could take a long position here, targeting a profit around 3945. However, the logic for this long position comes from Bitcoin needing to rise further, hitting a previous high, and then Ethereum continuing to push forward. The key position is approaching, so there's no need to rush.

As the year-end approaches, everyone should pay attention to risks and ensure they have funds set aside for the New Year. Both contracts and leverage require attention to risk control capabilities.