People believe only after they see, but the world sees because we believe.
New investors know nothing about the bull market, nor about the bear market. They dare not imagine the top of a bull market, nor the bottom of a bear market. They only dare to think of the top of a bull market as halfway up the mountain, or even the ankle. When a bear market reaches the shoulder, they think it has reached the bottom, but they don’t know that it will be cut in half again and again.
Only after you have experienced several rounds of bull and bear markets and constantly summarizing, reflecting and reviewing, can you understand this market and understand which ones are overvalued, which ones are undervalued, which ones are overvalued in the short term but promising in the long term, etc.
More importantly, it's about perceiving the current stage of the market, which is the hardest part. Just like learning a language, the hardest part is developing a sense of language, and that sense is something invisible, the most valuable thing.
Today is December 14, 2024. The bull market is still in its early stages, with big players promoting and retail investors lifting the sedan stage. To be precise, we are at the end of the bear market and the beginning of the bull market. There is an urgent need for new topics, and this year's concepts such as AI, RWA, layer 1, layer 2, meme, liquidity staking, gaming, and web 3.0 will continue to explode, with hundredfold or even thousandfold coins certainly among them.
By mid-2025, most coins will have the opportunity to break through previous highs, increasing by ten to twenty times. At this time, it will reach the mid-term, and during the mid-bull market, a halving will occur, and the profits of the retail investors will shrink significantly. From both technical and market sentiment perspectives, it will look like the beginning of a bear market. At this time, retail investors will rush to exit because they feel that regardless of how much they earn, it's safe to take profits. If you think this is the end, you are too naive. Retail investors have made money and exited, where will the big players cry? At this time, there will be fluctuations for several months, giving time for all retail investors to exit.
At the end of the year, there will be another wave of rebound, and some coins will still break through previous highs. There will still be a 5-10 times increase from the lows. At this time, retail investors who exited earlier will certainly rush back in, longing for to the moon, only to end up trapped at the peak. What awaits them is a years-long bear market. Ultimately, they will chase highs and sell lows, losing all their money and becoming desperate about this market. Some will leave cursing because they have no money left, believing this is a scam, not realizing that it was their own greed and lack of understanding that led to the tragedy. Some will rush back into the next bull market, repeating history. They are a group of gamblers, never learning or reflecting, like headless flies, focusing on daily price fluctuations, ultimately being abandoned by the times, becoming just a speck of dust in the current. New retail investors will never be able to make money and leave this market during a bull market.
I put the future plot here, but I believe no one can fully comply with the rules.
Here is my prediction for the bull market peak in 2025. I will cash out within the following range, but it's not absolute. There will definitely be undervalued coins, and there will certainly be overvalued coins. The specifics will be adjusted according to the development of the bull market, overall relatively conservative, please do not blindly follow the trend.
Unit (USD)
1.btc 100,000-150,000
2.eth 8,000-15,000
3.bnb 1000-4000
4.sol 400-700
5.xrp 3
6.doge 1
7.ada 2-4
8.trx 0.5-1
9.shib 0.0001-0.0002
10.avax 100-200
11.dot 25-50
12.link 40-100
13.bch 1000-2000
14.near 20-50
15.uni 40-80
16.matic 3-6
17.ltc 300-500
18.pepe 0.00005-0.0001
19.icp 50-90
20.etc 100-200
21. apt 40-80
22.hbar 0.3-0.5
23.rndr 20-50
24.atom 30-50
25.xlm 0.8-1
26.arb 5-10
27.fil 20-40
28.stx 7-15
29.imx 6-13
30.sui 5-10
31.mkr 4000-8000
32.vet 0.1-0.2
33.grt 1-2
34.op 5-10
35.inj 50-100
36.tao 500-1000
37.ldo 5-10
38.ar 100-200
39.ftm 2-4
40.wif 5-10
41.floki 0.0005-0.001
42.theta 5-10
43.not 0.05-0.1
44.jasmy 0.1-0.2
45.rune 10-20
46.bonk 0.0001-0.0002
47.fet 5-10
48.aave 400-800
49.tia 40-80
50.pyth 1-2
