Last night's CPI index saved the crypto market, Bitcoin challenges $100,000

Last night's CPI data release brought a glimmer of hope to the crypto market, with Bitcoin successfully breaking through the $100,000 mark. But does this mean the crypto market has entered a bull market revival? We need to observe further.

Behind Bitcoin's breakthrough of $100,000

In recent episodes, we have been discussing whether Bitcoin will once again challenge $100,000 in the short term. After a period of adjustment, Bitcoin finally followed historical patterns and stood at this important psychological threshold again. We previously mentioned that Bitcoin's price movements typically rely on oscillating support and trapezoidal patterns for short-term rebounds. Historical experience tells us that each time it breaks below a certain support line, Bitcoin usually recovers quickly and tests new upward space.

Last night, we analyzed the hourly trend and concluded that the market structure has changed and a bottom structure has emerged. Therefore, we began to add positions and made some contract operations, which led to an upward trend in the market. However, even though Bitcoin has broken through the $100,000 barrier, we still need to observe the subsequent trend and cannot easily conclude that the crypto market has entered a bull market.

Current market sentiment and short-term risks

Although Bitcoin has risen after breaking through $100,000, we still need to be cautious of several factors. First, while Bitcoin is facing resistance around $102,000, the market's contract holdings have not significantly rebounded as expected, indicating that most investors remain cautious about using leverage. Secondly, from the perspective of spot indicators, trading volume has not shown significant growth, and market activity is not as strong as it was on Monday and Tuesday, which also means market confidence has not fully recovered.

On-chain data also shows that although there has not been a significant net outflow from the ETF market, the decrease in inflow still indicates some unrest in the market. Overall, while Bitcoin's price has broken through $100,000, the overall market sentiment and capital inflow conditions indicate short-term fluctuations and uncertainty.

Opportunities and risks of altcoins

Compared to Bitcoin, the market response of altcoins is somewhat lagging. Recently, the sharp decline of altcoins has brought certain opportunities to investors, especially those mid-cap altcoins with a market capitalization exceeding $200 million, whose holdings are increasing while prices have not risen in tandem. Therefore, these altcoins may welcome a wave of corrective rebound in the future.

If you are interested in the altcoin market, you can pay attention to those with higher market capitalization and steadily increasing holdings. Our community has a dedicated list recommending coins that may not rebound in the short term but are still worth holding in the long term. If you're interested, feel free to join our community for detailed investment advice.

Adapting to market changes: holding positions versus staged operations

Many investors believe that during a bull market, as long as the long-term trend of the market is upward, there is no need for too many operations and holding is enough. This thinking is theoretically correct, but in practice, Bitcoin can experience prolonged pullbacks during a bull market. For example, in January and March 2020, Bitcoin underwent weeks of deep pullbacks, falling more than 30%.

Therefore, even if we predict that Bitcoin will maintain an upward trend in the long term, we cannot ignore the short-term risk of pullbacks. If you can withstand floating losses and miss some short-term buying opportunities, then holding your position is fine. But if you want to accumulate more assets before the bull market peaks, taking staged actions becomes particularly necessary.

By adjusting and adding positions at key market points, you can better seize market opportunities, especially when the market experiences deep pullbacks, allowing for timely reductions or bottom fishing. Recent USDT holding data shows that the market is at a crossroads, meaning investors' purchasing power may be insufficient. Therefore, seizing opportunities to buy at low prices is crucial for increasing total assets.

Conclusion: How to avoid missing opportunities

Finally, our operational strategy is based on a keen judgment of market dynamics. In recent operations, we have analyzed Bitcoin's volatility and combined it with appropriate entry timing to make short-term add and reduce operations. The market's volatility presents many investors with a choice: whether to continue holding or take the opportunity to sell, and how to grasp short-term market opportunities.

If we do not respond promptly to market changes, we may miss some important trading opportunities. Instead of chasing prices later, it's better to add positions when the market is low and wait for a rebound. As long as we maintain sensitivity to the market, we can find more opportunities amidst the market's ups and downs.