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CPI report in line with expectations. The market expects a 96% probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates next week.
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“每一笔‘越涨越买’的交易，本质上都不是在交易市场，而是在交易自我价值。加仓不是因为对市场有新的洞察，而是因为我们需要更大的利润来维持一个更宏大的自我幻象。市场变成了一面镜子，我们沉迷的不是收益本身，而是镜子里那个‘战无不胜’”的自己。 这就是为什么所有关于交易纪律和系统的建议，虽然正确，却很难真正改变行。因为你无法用技术性的解决方案来修复一个存在主义的问题。 最讽刺的是：我们以为自己在用金钱换取财富，实际上是在用财富换取一个虚幻的自我认同。 这场交易，我们从一开始就注定是输家。”
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当地时间12月12日，欧洲央行宣布降息25个基点，将最受关注的存款机制利率由3.25%降至3%，符合市场普遍预期。这是欧洲央行今年内第四次降息。考虑到欧元区经济前景疲软、区域内面临政治不确定性以及有可能与美国爆发新一轮贸易战，分析师普遍预计，欧洲央行将在明年9月前的每次货币政策会议上都降息25个基点，直至将存款机制利率降至1.5%。但同时也不排除在经济疲软时，考虑更大幅度降息。
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