Highlights of the future market:
The closest event is the result of Microsoft's investment in Bitcoin plan on the 10th-11th. If approved, I believe this funding will help Bitcoin stabilize at 100,000, becoming a key point.
If not approved, it will merely be a slight negative sentiment impact, which shouldn't be too significant.
However, the market currently has a precedent with MicroStrategy's successful investment, so Microsoft is likely to get approval as well.
Secondly, Powell will be speaking this week. In the past, his speeches have been a downgrade for the crypto space, but last time he openly stated that BTC is not in competition with the dollar, but with gold.
This is the first time Powell has publicly discussed the positive side of Bitcoin. The day after his last speech, BTC broke through 100,000, so this week it’s very likely that Powell won’t suppress the market, especially with Trump coming back, those who understand will understand!
Following that, we have news for the second half of the month.
On the 18th-19th, the Fed may lower interest rates on the 18th, while the Bank of Japan may raise rates on the 19th, which are completely contrary to each other. I estimate the market will experience a spike, but overall, I personally feel it will still be targeted at BTC. If in the second half of the month, Ether's ETF funds flow in normally and there is significant investment, I believe altcoins will not follow the downturn. We will take it step by step, which is what I mentioned earlier: the first half of the month is full of opportunities, while the risks in the second half will be here. I hope everyone can understand the meaning of this sentence.
Then we have Christmas on the 25th. I won’t say much more; Christmas is just a slight risk of a small capital outflow.
After that, in January, Trump will be back in office. Once in power, Trump has the authority to relax policies and make crypto great again! After all, most of the funds from the Trump family’s dog project have already been switched to BTC and ETH. I believe Trump won’t let the coin prices look too bad!
Finally, I hope everyone’s current view of the market doesn’t just rely on charts anymore. Future market analysis may not be the same as before, focusing only on lines and data; we also need to consider Trump’s policy adjustments, as well as the movements of BlackRock, MicroStrategy, Grayscale, etc. Pay attention to the types of tokens these institutions hold, along with some fund inflow and outflow trends. Don’t chase highs; this way you can navigate the entire bull market!