Below is the current analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) based on information from Binance (December 6, 2024):
Price area analysis:
Strong resistance zone:
$95,000 - $96,000: Strong resistance zone in the past week, where the price of Bitcoin has struggled to break through in recent attempts.
$100,000: Important psychological price level, likely to be a major resistance threshold if the market continues to rise sharply.
$105,000 - $110,000: Local peaks from August and September, will be a challenge if the price surpasses $100,000.
Strong support zone:
$90,000 - $91,000: Recent support, where the price stabilized and turned upward at the end of November.
$85,000 - $87,000: Important support zone, where Bitcoin has rebounded strongly before.
$80,000 - $82,000: Solid support since mid-October, will be an important level to monitor if there is a deep correction.
Trend analysis:
Short term (1-2 weeks):
Current trend: Strong upward movement, with the price of Bitcoin fluctuating around $95,000. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD are showing strong bullish momentum.
RSI: Currently at 60-70, indicating the market may continue its upward trend but caution is needed for overbought risks if RSI exceeds 70.
MACD: Strong growth signal, but watch for negative divergence if signs of losing momentum appear.
Medium term (1-2 months):
Trend: Bitcoin is likely to maintain strong gains, with forecasts exceeding $100,000 this year. Inflows from Bitcoin ETF funds and the participation of institutional investors continue to be major supporting factors.
Bollinger Bands: The Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating strong volatility in the near future.
Trading recommendation:
Spot strategy:
Entry: $90,000 - $91,000 (near strong support).
Target 1: $95,000 - $96,000 (+5-7%).
Target 2: $100,000 (important psychological level) (+10-12%).
Stop loss: $87,000 (-3-4%).
R/R ratio: 2-3.
Probability of success: 60-65%.
Future strategy:
No recommendation for futures trading due to high volatility and risk.
If you want to trade futures, use low leverage (2x) to minimize risk.
Reason for recommendation:
High volatility in the short term, but a solid long-term uptrend.
Current price area near strong support, may be a reasonable accumulation opportunity for long-term investors.
Inflow from ETF funds and institutional involvement indicate stability and potential for further growth.