Today I took a look at the meme in the observation list through the 4-hour candlestick chart.

Even the leaders in niche tracks, over 90% of meme coins are on the decline, basically in a state of death.

The market situation isn't particularly intense, so today let's talk about the valuation issues of memes.

When we usually say how much a target can rise, we are actually discussing the extreme value under various optimistic conditions.

However, scientific valuation should consider the weighted expected value after accounting for various probability distributions and risk adjustments.

More complex is the fact that the valuation system of memes also includes emotional factors. Emotions are obvious but very difficult to quantify.

In the crypto circle, this kind of estimation is not widespread and is very challenging because many limitations cannot be judged in advance.

Also, due to many unforeseen changes, investing is essentially a semi-chaotic system, so precise predictions do not exist.

Therefore, many self-proclaimed predictive teachers should be approached with caution.