The 2025 bull market will be the last opportunity for many small retail investors to get on board. If you miss this round, you'll have to wait another 4-year cycle. The 2024 bull market is basically coming to an end, and you must grasp the upcoming big bull market next year.
Predicting that there are still two ways left for the cryptocurrency bull market in 2025.
Unknowingly, the bull market in the cryptocurrency circle has already passed halfway. After careful consideration, I see three ways the cryptocurrency bull market can unfold, with two remaining for the 2025 bull market.
The first way of the bull market has already been denied by the market. This is the most conventional approach, starting with a small bull market, where Bitcoin rises from $15,500 in 2022 to near the golden ratio of the previous bull market peak, which is around $42,600, followed by a round of rising and then falling market. In the end, Bitcoin will break through the previous bull market peak of $69,000 in 2025, officially starting a new round of bull market. The probability of this type of movement occurring in the 2029 bull market is high.
The second way the 2025 bull market could unfold is a false breakout pattern. It seems increasingly likely that it could be a false breakout to around $73,000 from the previous bull market peak of $69,000, misleading retail investors into thinking the bull market has arrived, attracting follow-up buying. The market makers take advantage of retail investors following the trend and trap a large number of newly entered investors in the cryptocurrency space. This is a premeditated, organized, and planned trap to fleece retail investors. After being trapped, there will be a significant drop, followed by repeated grinding at a new low, then suddenly starting a major bull market again in 2025.
The third way for the 2025 bull market is the double-headed bull pattern. This possibility is also very high. This means breaking through the previous high, then making a slight adjustment, and continuing to rise to a price slightly lower than the highest price of the 2025 bull market, which is around $120,000, before experiencing a significant drop. When the majority of retail investors mistakenly believe the bull market has ended, it will rebound sharply, and the 2025 bull market will officially arrive, with Bitcoin reaching $186,000 before the bull market ends.
The 2025 bull market could be a double-headed bull, and the specific pattern could refer to the Bitcoin bull market of 2013.
The first round of the bull market lasted from October 2011 to April 2013, for a duration of 7 months, with Bitcoin's halving occurring on November 28, 2012. Bitcoin rose from $2 to $260, an increase of 130 times. Then, in less than a week, Bitcoin fell to $50, a drop of 80%.
The second round of the bull market lasted from April 2013 to December 2013, for a duration of 8 months. Bitcoin started rising from $50 and reached $1,000 by December 2013, an increase of 23 times. After that, it fell to $150 in January 2015, a drop of 87%. Thus, the 2013 double-headed bull market ended.
Because of the bull market in 2013 and the upcoming one in 2025, the amount of capital entering the cryptocurrency space compared to the existing amount is too large, it will all be a double-headed bull. Why a double-headed bull? Because the initial phase of the bull market erupted too quickly, with basically no significant corrections, so there will be a big correction when it peaks, and then it will rise again. This is called a double-headed bull.
The cryptocurrency market is a battleground for capital. The price trends are closely related to the amount of new capital entering the market. If we compare the existing cryptocurrency market to a bowl of water, when two bowls of new water are added, the Bitcoin price trend follows the first standard pattern. When four bowls of new water are added, the price trend follows the second false breakout pattern. When six bowls of new water are added, the price trend follows the third double-headed bull pattern.
Of course, today's Bitcoin is vastly different from the environment and development during the previous two halving cycles. From the perspective of the environment, Bitcoin has achieved widespread consensus and recognition globally. Especially after the Bitcoin spot ETF was approved, it became a legal investment channel, with a large number of traditional financial institutions such as Wall Street public companies, banks, investment banks, and funds entering the market. This gives Bitcoin a more solid value foundation. Additionally, due to the flourishing development of the cryptocurrency market itself, especially with the continuous implementation of many decentralized finance projects and the breakout of non-fungible token concepts, Bitcoin and the entire market now have a broad user base, which is expected to have a higher ceiling compared to the first halving cycle.
The CEO of BlackRock in 2017: 'Bitcoin is a money laundering indicator.'
The CEO of BlackRock in 2023: 'Bitcoin is a way to protect your assets.'
The CEO of BlackRock in 2024: 'The value of freedom is equal to the value of Bitcoin!'
Any technical analysis during a bull market is powerless. In fact, any correction, regardless of magnitude or duration, will eventually rise again to set new highs. What is tested is the mindset. What the retail investors need to do is to buy on dips. Doing this has an accuracy rate of over 95%. Persisting in doing high-probability things will make profit as easy as breathing.
History does not repeat itself. But it is always strikingly similar. Nowadays, the rapid rise at the beginning of a bull market is often just the first stage of the bull market.
The bull market initially rises, then continues to rise, and finally rises again. After the early stages of the bull market, there are often multiple crashes, slow rises, rapid crashes, and then continued slow rises.
The first two rounds of bull markets were characterized by continuous rises, accompanied by multiple crashes. In 2017, there were more crashes and slower rises. In 2021, there were fewer crashes and faster rises. Therefore, to have a healthy long-term bull market, there must be more crashes and a good cleanup of leverage. A wash is healthier. If there are no significant crashes and it keeps going up straight, I would be worried that this round's bull market peak might be relatively low. Is it possible that a violent wash could happen at any time?
In the bullish trend of the bull market, more crashes actually mean that Bitcoin's price will ultimately be higher. So don't be anxious. If a sudden crash occurs in the next few days to clean up leverage, that is also a very typical characteristic of a bull market. After all, we have already broken through the historical highs. We have entered a major bull market; what are retail investors panicking about? Hold onto your spot and welcome the new highs.
In short, the bull market is far from over, and the moment when all coins soar together has not yet arrived. Don't wait until you look back and regret why you didn't hold this coin or that one. If you want to make a swing trade and then regret it later, it will be too late when the market ends. Retail investors will only understand then that the bear market has arrived.
The four most precious words in the world: Faith, Persistence, Perseverance, and Gratitude. Those with faith have opportunities, those who are persistent change themselves, those who persevere change their destinies, and those who are grateful receive blessings.
In the current fluctuating market, blindly going solo will never bring opportunities. Pay attention to Brother Di, spot trading, layout timing, strategy, and Wu Chang's announcement.
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