Time Forecast for Altseason

Altseason Phases and Time Forecast

Based on the current Altcoin index (70/100) and the 90-day trend from CoinMarketCap, we can make some specific time forecasts for Altseason:

1. Current phase:

• Start time: Late November 2024.

• Current: Early December 2024, the market is in the early to mid-phase of Altseason, with strong capital flowing into large altcoins (Large Caps) like Ethereum, Solana.

2. Time forecast for Altseason:

• Expected duration: Approximately 2-3 months, from late November 2024 to early February 2025.

• Specific phases:

• Start of Altseason (December 2024):

• Capital is focusing on large altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Polygon (MATIC).

• These large altcoins will begin to grow stronger compared to Bitcoin.

• Mid-Altseason (Mid December 2024 - Early January 2025):

• Liquidity is gradually shifting towards small-cap altcoins, especially projects related to AI, DeFi, and NFT.

• This is the most explosive growth phase, with the possibility of achieving price increases of 10x-50x in some small altcoins.

• End of Altseason (January - Early February 2025):

• Investors begin to take profits. Liquidity gradually shifts from altcoins to stablecoins like USDT, signaling a correction or downturn phase.

3. Factors influencing the timing of Altseason:

1. Bitcoin Dominance:

• If Bitcoin Dominance drops sharply below 40%, Altseason will last longer and be stronger.

• If Bitcoin's dominance increases again, Altseason may be shorter.

2. Market sentiment:

• The “FOMO” (Fear of Missing Out) psychology can drive significant capital flow into altcoins and prolong Altseason.

3. Global economic data:

• Changes in monetary policy (such as interest rates) can affect capital flow in the cryptocurrency market.

Optimal strategy over time:

• December 2024:

• Invest in large-cap altcoins like Ethereum, Solana.

• January 2025:

• Expand the portfolio into small-cap altcoins with high potential in the fields of AI, DeFi.

• February 2025:

• Gradually take profits and shift capital into stablecoins to preserve gains.

Conclusion:

Based on current trends, Altseason is expected to last from late November 2024 to February 2025. This is a great opportunity for investors to capitalize on altcoins, but careful risk management is also needed to avoid being affected during the post-Altseason correction phase.