Currently, the BTC fluctuations around the 95-98k level may be a sign of one of two scenarios:
1. Bait (Bull trap): If the trading volume is low and there are no clear positive news, it is likely that this is a “trap” to attract retail investors to participate before the price drops sharply. This often occurs when whales want to liquidate or manipulate the market for profit.
2. Accumulation for breakout: If the trading volume increases gradually and there is support from factors such as positive news about Bitcoin or overall market growth, this could be an accumulation phase before BTC breaks through the resistance level of 98k and moves towards the 100k mark.
Further analysis:
The current 98k level acts as a strong resistance. If the price breaks through and maintains above this level with large trading volume, the likelihood of rising to 100k is very high.
If it cannot break through and the price turns back down below 95k, it is likely that the market will continue to adjust downwards.
Strategy:
If you are a long-term investor: Do not worry too much about these small fluctuations, focus on the long-term trend.
If you are a short-term trader: Keep a close watch on resistance/support levels, trading volume, and other market signals (RSI, MACD, news). Set tight stop-loss to minimize risk.
What are your thoughts on this situation? Would you like to analyze further?
