The cryptocurrency bull market requires an engine, but the Bitcoin bull market only requires liquidity.
The first interest rate cut was in September. According to the Federal Reserve, balance sheet reduction is still continuing, which will neutralize the liquidity released by the interest rate cut, so the current interest rate is still neutral.
But the general direction of interest rate cuts or gradual quantitative easing will certainly not be reversed;
After the election in November, funds that had avoided election fluctuations returned to the market and began to gradually provide liquidity to the market.
At the Federal Reserve's December interest rate meeting, there is a high probability that interest rates will be reduced by another 0.25 percentage points. At the same time, it is very likely that the Federal Reserve will announce a slowdown in balance sheet reduction, or even an end to it. The quantitative easing cycle will officially begin, and market confidence will be greatly boosted.
After that, until 2025, when the interest rate drops to 3.25% or even lower, liquidity will continue to flow into the market, and both the stock market and Bitcoin will continue to rise;
As for where the peak of the bull market will be, the specific time cannot be predicted, but when the quantitative easing cycle ends and the total M2 volume begins to shrink, it will be a signal to escape the top. Don't fight to the end. This kind of market situation cannot be too structured.
Ambush the following 4 altcoins with 100x potential to help you change your house and car during the New Year!
1、APT
Aptos is a popular layer 1 network, a competitor to Ethereum, that could generate impressive returns in the coming weeks. Fundamentally, its DeFi TVL has jumped to over $1.5 billion, driven by Aries Markets, Amnis Finance, and Echo Lending. Its seven-day DEX volume has also grown significantly, indicating that it has strong utility.
Aptos price has a strong technical picture and could see further gains in December. It has formed a golden cross chart pattern and a bullish pennant. This type of pennant is formed when an asset sees a strong parabolic rally and then forms a symmetrical triangle pattern. If successful, APT token could jump to $20 and above in the near term. A break below the psychological point of $10 will invalidate the bullish view.
2、AWAY
Terra Luna Classic (LUNC) has rebounded over the past few months. Unlike other coins, its recovery has been relatively slow. This slow rebound suggests that it has entered the accumulation phase of the Wyckoff method, which will be followed by a parabolic move.
Apart from this, LUNC price is forming a cup-with-handle pattern. This pattern consists of a rounding bottom and some consolidation or pullback. In this case, the potential target for Terra Luna Classic price is $0.00002055, which is about 70% higher than the current level. A breakout above this level would mean more gains, possibly reaching the all-time high of $0.00028.
3、PNUT
PeanutSquirrel, an emoji coin that has experienced great ups and downs in the market. In mid-November, its price soared to a parabolic high, reaching a market value of $2.4 billion and setting a record high of $2.47.
However, it has since experienced a sharp correction, plummeting by about 70% and currently trading at $1.19. Despite this decline, PNUT remains active, with a strong online presence, 50,000 followers, and ongoing efforts to interact with major exchanges.
It has gone through the emotional "excitement" and "excitement" phases of market psychology, which suggests caution is needed for potential investors.
PNUT’s performance highlights the importance of timing in the meme coin market — accumulating early in a downtrend could pay off if the asset regains momentum, though risk remains high. Investors may seek to take advantage of short-term rallies while remaining cautious about long-term positions.
4、TON
Toncoin is taking a stake in the $200 billion gaming industry that is driving Web3 adoption. However, many blockchains face limitations such as poor scalability and user complexity, which creates difficulties for developers and players. TON (The Open Network) aims to solve these problems by providing a blockchain platform designed to scale efficiently and simplify the development process.
TON focuses on meeting the needs of developers, using dynamic sharding to support billions of users without performance delays. Successful projects on TON highlight the importance of combining engaging gameplay with meaningful incentives. This combination, supported by TON's seamless integration and community tools, enables developers to effectively grow their games.
