The world is bustling with people, all for profit; the world is bustling with people, all for profit! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui Talking about Coins, focusing on digital currency market analysis, and strive to deliver the most valuable currency market information to the majority of coin friends. Welcome all coin friends to pay attention and like, and reject any market smoke bombs.
As we are about to enter December, the exchange rate issue will get everyone's attention again. As soon as Lao Cui mentioned the exchange rate issue, the ruble started a new round of plunge. It is a pity for a group of users who do foreign trade with Russia. Let's not talk about topics outside the cryptocurrency circle. Everyone just needs to remember that the appreciation of the US dollar is not a particularly good thing for the cryptocurrency circle. The overall settlement of the cryptocurrency circle is still constant in US dollars. Although it allows everyone to conveniently convert currencies of other countries, the largest application system is still settled in USDT. The appreciation of the U.S. dollar can expand your profits, but it also means the depreciation of the domestic currency. At present, CNY's performance is still relatively strong, at least it depreciates slower than other currencies. Everyone should know that inflation and deflation are two problems. Although both represent economic downturns, the solutions are different. Talking too far, back to the cryptocurrency circle, the cryptocurrency circle in December will no longer be like the unilateral growth in November. It will come to an end. There will be an increase from the week before the interest rate cut to the week after the interest rate cut. Secondly, everyone should be prepared for the short attack that will continue until Trump takes office, and be sure to make risk control preparations in advance.
There are many factors that can affect the market trend in December. The current problems exposed include the large amount of funds flowing into foreign trade due to the exchange rate settlement. Secondly, the interest rate cut in December, as Europe and the United States are used to the festivals in December, the outflow of funds will be very large. In addition, the December financial report problems of various institutions, etc., a series of contradictions have basically accumulated and continued throughout December. Putting aside the unilateral market trend in November, the fluctuations in December may be the most unstable in the whole year. In addition, Trump took office at the end of January. Even if there is an interest rate cut in the middle, there will be a capital window period. Lao Cui currently estimates that this round of interest rate cuts will be able to break through the previous high point in one fell swoop and reach above the 100,000 mark. Then the operating space in this window period will be very huge, at least deeper than the current round of callback depth, and the 10,000-point market is just the normal operating space of capital. Of course, this prediction is not to undermine the confidence of all bulls. Before the interest rate cut, the bulls still have to ambush in advance. The subsequent callback market can only occur after the interest rate cut. Before the interest rate cut, the bulls will still dominate the trend. At this point, what Lao Cui needs to emphasize is that operations must be centered on long positions. At the current stage, if you want to break the previous low, it is impossible unless there is a situation where interest rates do not fall. However, at present, the probability of this is extremely low. At least from the beginning, Lao Cui's prediction has been that interest rates will fall.
As for the general view in the market, all of them are bitcoins that start with eight characters. Lao Cui currently does not see such a large callback depth. After all, there is a wave of interest rate cuts to support it. It is the limit to touch the 90,000 mark. The key observation point is whether the high point after the interest rate cut can touch around 11W. If you touch this high point in one go, I am afraid that the remaining things will be very uncomfortable for you short sellers. The callback depth can reach 10,000 points to 15,000 points. If it is deeper, it can only be shown to you in the form of a pin, but this market is not within Lao Cui's layout. The advance layout can only grab 5,000-10,000 points at most. The bull market stage still needs to be stable. At this stage, you can choose to stop profit for the long orders that you have ambushed. Lao Cui's capital volume may persist until after the interest rate cut in December. If you have patience, Lao Cui still hopes that you can reduce operations and avoid mistakes. As long as you can maintain the next round of entry after stopping profit, users with this courage can exit at this stage. As long as there is not much demand for funds and users are not in a hurry to withdraw cash at the end of the year, they can choose to enter the market and wait and see for a while. The upper limit for bottom fishing is still higher than that of US stocks, and the upper limit is even much higher than all other investments.
From the data level, the monthly inflow of USDT has reached about 5 billion, most of which are into the platform. This kind of additional issuance is almost cost-free for the platform. The growth of Bitcoin is also inseparable from the additional issuance of USDT. In addition to the bottom-fishing of traditional capital, the support below is almost very stable at this stage, and your concerns about short positions can be dispelled. For spot users, many friends are concerned about whether SOL can still enter the market at the current price to bottom-fish. Entering the market at the current price has nothing to do with bottom-fishing. The bull market stage tests more about the management of positions. Distributed ambush entry, this market is almost impossible to lose money. The premise is that your spot holding time must be more than two months. Spot cannot be frequently entered and exited. Frequent operations now are giving up profits and increasing the risk of losses. Among all investment currencies, except for the dog mentioned yesterday, other currencies can enter the market. The remaining risk problem is estimated by your time volume. The time problem is not a big problem in the investment field.
Don't stare at the newly launched currencies. You should know that no matter how many times the newly launched currencies grow, they are not supported by the volume of funds. Most currencies are launched only for this round of bull market. The problem that Lao Cui is worried about is also very obvious. Once this round of bull market ends, the high point of this type of currency is almost the same as FIL. I am afraid that it will be difficult to return to the high level in a lifetime. If you invest in this type of currency, you can't measure it by timeline. You can only go in and out quickly. But if you calm down and think about it, you can't guarantee profits in the contract. How can you jump out of the profit model of the newly launched currency? The new currency is completely a casino. I am not afraid of your profits, but I am afraid that you will not enter the market. Therefore, you must not easily intervene in the currency that has doubled at this stage, unless you have certain insider information, and this information must be given to you by a reliable person. You can evaluate this reliable person yourself.
The article is about to end, and Lao Cui will also report on the recent results. At this stage, Lao Cui still has several currencies in his hands, and there is basically no spot operation. The only thing is that in the short-term, he was too careless and made a long order at 98,000. After pulling all the way, he finally made a profit yesterday. Fortunately, he made a position near 92,000, so that he could retreat unscathed. This is why Lao Cui emphasizes the importance of covering positions. As long as you can see the general trend now, you will not be afraid of the short-selling in your heart. Only with firm faith can you have certain gains. For Ethereum, Lao Cui has not entered the market recently, but I need to tell you that the current way of shorting Ethereum is definitely to consider entering the market after touching the previous high of 100. Shorting is no longer a trend. Shorting requires long-term holding plans, so Lao Cui must emphasize the risks of shorting. This shorting does not support everyone to bravely short at high positions, but most newcomers, just after looking at the K-line, feel that the current currency circle is not worth this price, so most newcomers will operate with shorting as the main theme. It is only because some people are shorting that Lao Cui will give everyone the idea of shorting. Those who can understand the market should not enter the short position, just wait for the bottom. Lao Cui currently has a long position in Bitcoin yesterday, 95,000, allowing everyone to exit at around 2,000 points. For Ethereum, it is a short position. The price also fell below 3,600. I am afraid that after the article is published, I will choose to exit at a point. There are only two contracts, and the others are spot and have not changed.
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Lao Cui’s message: Investing is like playing chess. Experts can see five, seven or even more than ten steps ahead, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps ahead. Experts consider the overall situation and the general trend, and do not focus on one piece or one place. Their goal is to win the game in the end. Underachievers fight for every inch of land, frequently switch between long and short positions, and only try to win in the short term, resulting in frequent setbacks.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute buying or selling advice. If you buy or sell based on this material, you will be responsible for the consequences!
