$BTC

I. Market assessment

1. Main trend: Short-term price slightly decreased, trading below MA20 at $95,239; Medium-term price accumulated in the range of $92,500 - $95,500; Long-term uptrend maintained, strong support at MA200 near $94,758.

2. Indicators: RSI(6): 41.4, RSI(24): 49.5 - Downtrend is near neutral. MACD histogram is negative, selling pressure is dominant but weakening. Bollinger Bands: Price is near the middle band, signaling accumulation.

3. Support/resistance: Support $94,500 (nearest), $92,500 (strong medium-term); Resistance $95,500 (near MA20), $97,250 (previous high).

4. Trading volume: Slightly decreasing, weak cash flow, need a breakthrough signal to break out.

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II. Trend forecast

1. Bullish scenario: Target $95,500, $97,250; Price condition breaks MA20 at $95,239, RSI > 50, MACD crosses up for positive signal; Probability 45%, 1-2 day time frame.

2. Bearish scenario: Expected drop $94,500, $92,500; Price condition breaks $94,500 with high volume, RSI below 40; Probability 55%, 1-2 day time frame.

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III. Trading recommendation

1. Current position: If holding Long, close the order if the price cannot hold $94,500. Stop loss $94,000, Take profit $95,500 (50%), $97,250 (50%).

2. New trade:

- Long trend if price exceeds $95,250 with high volume; Short if price breaks $94,500.

- Entry Long $95,300, Short $94,400. Stop loss Long $94,800, Short $94,900.

- Take profit Long $95,500 (50%), $97,250 (50%); Short $93,500 (50%), $92,500 (50%).

- R/R ratio Long ~2.5:1, Short ~2:1. Margin/leverage Long 3x, Short 4-5x.

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IV. Warning

The downtrend may continue if price breaks $94,500. Low volume, need to monitor money flow signals. Strong volatility can occur due to unexpected news.