#市场波动，加仓还是观望？
Why do I dare to say that there won't be a significant pullback at this stage?
When BTC broke through the historical high of 74,000 with a huge volume, it became clear that the main players are very determined, having invested real money to help everyone out, absorbing a massive amount of chips. In the 8 months from March to November, the chips have already been sufficiently exchanged, which you can also understand as having completed the 'change of hands' at high positions, and all the way up has been characterized by large bullish candles. May I ask, would retail investors buy Bitcoin at such a high position? Retail investors have already sold off most of their holdings before reaching 85,000. If it wasn’t retail investors buying, then who was it? If it was institutions or the state buying, why would they be willing to spend so much to buy? Do they have the intention to crash the market? Once you understand this point, a lot of things are actually just noise.
The United States is currently trying to rally the gentry to make Bitcoin a national strategic reserve. Would they crash the market at this time? Isn’t that like lifting a rock to smash their own foot? I just want to ask, who dares to crash the market at this time? Whoever crashes the market is opposing the Americans; who dares to take the lead? You, the prominent leader of the American blue star, have just taken the lead in launching a project, with various factions contributing money and effort. Are you going to run away now? Are you going to abandon what you've just started? Where will you put your old face in the future? What credibility will you have left?
The crazy fluctuations and washouts over the past eight months have made the retail investors tired; the once firm belief in a bull market is starting to waver. Many people are either trapped or have cut their losses early, having sold off most of their chips during the rise for a little profit. Aside from some who are deeply trapped and may break even soon to sell and free themselves, the vast majority are actually in a state of missing the boat, or even turning to shorting. This is how financial markets work, with top stocks in each sector often attempting to adjust after a surge, giving those who missed the boat a chance to get on board. But one must understand that the reason the top stocks are the top is that during adjustments, there are often more people who are more eager than you; if you want to wait for a 30% drop to get on board, there will be someone who gets on board at a 20% drop. If you want to wait for a 20% drop, there will be someone who can't wait for a 10% drop. The same goes for the upward surge; when charging forward, there will be others who are even more impatient.
I am David, welcome to connect!
