Exploring the ETH/BTC 8-Year Cycle Chart: Revealing Ethereum's Price Ceiling in This Cycle
Recent analysis indicates that Ethereum's price may operate on an 8-year cycle, unlike Bitcoin's established 4-year cycle. This could explain the significant drop in Ethereum's price relative to Bitcoin's price since the beginning of this year. With this in mind, technical analysis suggests that Ethereum's price still has a long way to go in this cycle, especially if Bitcoin's price begins to experience significant adjustments.
Understanding the ETH/BTC 8-Year Cycle
The technical analysis of the ETH/BTC chart points out interesting cycles between the two cryptocurrency giants. Notably, the chart shows that Ethereum's price has lagged far behind Bitcoin's price in recent years, and this trend has further intensified since July of this year.
Unlike Bitcoin's price following a 4-year cycle aligned with its halving events, Ethereum's price seems to be on a different path. For years, data has indicated that Ethereum follows an 8-year cycle. This distinction explains why Ethereum and its ecosystem often seem to lag behind Bitcoin during bull and bear markets. Interestingly, this distinction is particularly evident in the current bull market cycle, where Bitcoin's price has broken multiple historical highs while Ethereum continues to struggle below $4,000.
Ethereum's 8-year cycle suggests that as Bitcoin's price begins to peak within its own cycle, Ethereum may offset these trends. This aligns with the concept of altcoin season, where investors start to take profits from Bitcoin's price and begin investing in the altcoin market.
According to analysis from the TradingView platform, Bitcoin's 4-year cycle suggests that the leading cryptocurrency might drop to the depths of its sine path in 2026, according to the power law corridor. On the other hand, the expected drop in Bitcoin's price will be offset by a simultaneous surge in Ethereum's price, which will bring it to its peak in the 8-year cycle by 2026.
Ethereum's Price is Expected to Peak in Mid-2026
According to the 8-year cycle theory, Ethereum's price is expected to peak in mid-2026. This peak is anticipated to coincide with the trough of Bitcoin's 4-year cycle, thereby creating a balance between the two major cryptocurrencies. During this period, as Bitcoin enters a price adjustment phase, Ethereum's price is expected to climb to its highest levels. Additionally, as Bitcoin's price drops, BNB is expected to act as a stable asset alongside Ethereum.
Price predictions indicate that by June 2025, Ethereum's price could reach $17,600, while BNB would rise to $3,520 concurrently. By July or August 2026, Ethereum is expected to reach $150,000, while BNB could climb to $30,000.
At the time of writing, Ethereum and BNB are trading at $3,385 and $660, respectively. Bitcoin is trading at $98,150.