$BTC

Based on technical analysis and market data, I assess the possibility of BTC falling to 95,000 as follows:

There is a 70% chance that BTC will fall to 95,000 because:

Technical reasons:

Price is in a strong downtrend from the top

MA lines have been broken and are pointing down

No signs of bottoming from momentum indicators RSI and Stoch RSI

Money flow reasons:

Money is still withdrawing (-5.14K BTC in 24h)

Selling pressure from large orders accounts for 45.19%

Sell volume > buy (2.11K vs 1.27K BTC)

Market structure:

The 95,000 zone is an important psychological support zone

There is not enough demand to reverse the trend

Market sentiment is negative

However Note:

If there is a strong buying reaction in the 96,000-97,000 zone

Or there is unexpected positive macro news

Then the deep decline scenario may be canceled

Recommendation:

You can place a buy order slowly in the 95,000-96,000 zone

Set a stoploss below 94,500 to protect capital

Do not go all-in on one order but split the order