$XRP

Based on comprehensive analysis, I assess the likelihood of XRP dropping sharply as follows:

1. The likelihood of a deep drop is LOW because:

- BTC is stabilizing, reducing systemic risk

- No new negative macro factors

- Technical and psychological support remains strong

- Capital flow may quickly return

2. Technical correction scenarios may occur:

- Maximum expected drop: 10-12%

- Target price range: 1.35-1.40

- Short correction time

- Average trading volume

3. Risks to monitor:

- Developments in the SEC lawsuit

- Short-term profit-taking pressure

- Large wallet withdrawals

- Volatility of key altcoins

4. Recommendations:

- Do not open new short positions

- May take advantage of the drop to accumulate

- Maintain a safe stop loss at 1.32-1.33

- Monitor volume to confirm the trend

*Conclusion: The risk of a deep drop has significantly decreased, and any correction (if any) is technical and creates accumulation opportunities.