$TROY

70% is fake pump

Analysis of the possibility of fake pump based on signs:

1. Signs that it could be a fake pump:

- Cash flow:

* Large inflow for 5 days is still negative (-282.17M)

* Strong withdrawals 24 hours ago (-1,521.56M)

* Large orders are selling more than buying (368.69M sold vs 321.05M bought)

- Technical:

* RSI too high (81.51) - overbought zone

* Volume spike may indicate a sell-off

* MACD is positive but weak (0.000103)

* DIF and DEA are still negative indicating the trend has not really reversed

2. Signs supporting a real pump:

- Volume:

* Total volume increased significantly (3.13B TROY)

* Overall buy/sell ratio leans towards buying (1,929M vs 1,693M)

- Technical:

* A clear bottom has formed at 0.004574

* High STOCH RSI (93.94) indicates good momentum

* Large green candle

3. Conclusion:

The possibility of it being a fake pump is about 70% because:

- Large cash flow is still withdrawing

- Large orders are selling more than buying

- Small market cap is easily manipulated

- High RSI usually leads to correction

4. Recommendation:

a) If holding:

- Should take profit on 50-70% of orders at the current price range

- Set a trailing stop for the remaining part to protect profits

- Should not FOMO more

b) If not in:

- Should not chase the price at this range

- Wait for a correction to the range of 0.004800-0.005000

- Monitor the movement of large cash flow

5. Levels to note:

- Resistance: 0.005800-0.006000

- Support: 0.004800-0.005000

- Stop loss if it breaks 0.004700

Summary: It is highly likely to be a fake pump based on large cash flow and technical indicators. Should prioritize capital preservation and not FOMO at the current price range.$TROY