Putin launches 'nuclear-capable' intercontinental ballistic missile for the first time, lowers nuclear retaliation threshold, is BTC the biggest black swan?

The Russia-Ukraine war seems to show signs of escalating recently, as Ukraine previously used long-range missiles provided by Western countries, which Russia sees as a clear signal of hope for the conflict to escalate. In response, Russia launched an intercontinental ballistic missile yesterday (21st). Will this escalation of the conflict become the black swan that pushes Bitcoin to break the $100,000 mark? (Background: Bitcoin 'today breaks 100,000' Polymarket betting odds surge to 79%, only $600 away from BTC milestone) (Background supplement: Bitcoin surges towards $100,000, what should I do with my hands full of altcoins?) Since the start of the Russia-Ukraine war in February 2022, it has reached 1000 days on the 19th of this month. According to a Reuters report, this war is the deadliest conflict in Europe since World War II, causing enormous losses, especially in terms of casualties and economy for Ukraine. Data shows that Russia currently occupies nearly one-fifth of Ukraine's territory and is still continuing its invasion. As for the internationally concerned issue of 'ceasefire', no signs have yet been seen. Russia launches intercontinental ballistic missile for the first time in the Russia-Ukraine war Recently, the situation of the Russia-Ukraine war has intensified again. According to reports from (Central News Agency), on the 19th, Ukraine attacked military targets inside Russia with US-supplied ATACMS missiles, and on the 20th, launched British-supplied Storm Shadow long-range missiles at targets inside Russia. This has been seen by Russia as a clear signal from the 'West' hoping for the conflict to escalate. Russian President Putin stated in May: If Western countries allow Ukraine to use their military power against Russia, there will be serious consequences. In response, Russia launched an intercontinental ballistic missile yesterday (21st), which is also the first time Russia has used an intercontinental ballistic missile since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war. It is understood that intercontinental ballistic missiles can have a range of thousands to tens of thousands of kilometers, with great power, and can carry multiple nuclear warheads. Russia modifies nuclear weapon usage rules Moreover, according to (Central News Agency) reports, on the 19th, Russian President Putin signed an expansion of the scope in which Moscow can resort to nuclear weapons, including that aggression by non-nuclear-armed countries with the participation of nuclear-armed countries will be considered a joint attack, and nuclear weapons can be used in response to large-scale aerial attacks. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov stated: Aggression by non-nuclear-armed countries with the participation of nuclear-armed countries will be considered a joint attack. Will Bitcoin crash again? However, with the Russia-Ukraine conflict likely to escalate, will it become the 'black swan' that pushes Bitcoin to break the $100,000 mark? According to past experiences, whenever a war breaks out, risk assets such as Taiwanese stocks, US stocks, and cryptocurrencies almost always face downward pressure. Below is a summary of Bitcoin's decline during recent years of conflict: 2022 Russia-Ukraine war: Before the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine war, the market had already fallen into panic, with Bitcoin dropping from a high of $44,500 on February 16 to a low of $34,322 when the war officially began on February 24, a decline of up to 23%. 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict: After the outbreak of the Israel-Hamas conflict, Bitcoin dropped from $28,029 on October 7 to a low of $26,538 on October 11, a decline of 5.4%. 2024 Israel-Iran conflict: After the outbreak of the Israel-Iran conflict, Bitcoin dropped from a high of $71,227 on April 12 to a short-term low of $60,660 on April 13, a decline of 15%. Related reports Major short-seller Citron 'shorts MicroStrategy' stock price plunges 20%: MSTR has completely detached from Bitcoin fundamentals Bitcoin market share 'soars to 61.6%' creating a nearly four-year high, is there still hope for altcoins? Bitcoin boom) Bitcoin-related stocks, ETFs see single-day trading volume exceed $70 billion, setting a new historical high "Putin launches 'nuclear-capable' intercontinental ballistic missile for the first time, lowers nuclear retaliation threshold, is BTC the biggest black swan?" This article was first published by BlockTempo (the most influential blockchain news media).