Original | Odaily Planet Daily（@OdailyChina）
Author｜Nan Zhi（@Assassin_Malvo）
"Another thousand times golden dog appeared tonight," "I missed a hundred times just by taking a nap." I wonder if you have ever experienced this; golden dogs always sneak attack when you're not around, and by the time you react, the market capitalization has already exceeded eight digits. So, when do golden dogs appear most frequently? Do you have to be online during this period to have a chance? Odaily Planet Daily will review this in this article.
When do golden dogs appear?
We first selected tokens from Pump.fun that are ranked in the top one thousand by market capitalization as research objects, obtaining the token creation time points as follows. The creation time point of 0 means that the token was created between 0:00-1:00 Beijing time, and so on. From this chart, it is evident that after 21:00 in the evening, the frequency of golden dogs jumps from 2% to 4% and continues to rise, peaking between 3:00 and 6:00 AM, then falling back to 2%-3% in the morning.
To verify whether this pattern is correct, we expanded the research subjects to include tokens ranked in the top 200 and top 2000 by market capitalization. To reflect more intuitively, we added a bar chart as shown below. It can be seen that for the top 2000 tokens, the frequency of golden dogs starts to increase significantly after 21:00, and also has a significant advantage between 3:00 and 6:00 AM.
Is there still an opportunity if you missed the night?
For most users, hitting dogs at early morning times is difficult, so does missing the first wave in the early morning mean there are no opportunities left? The author has recorded the interval from the creation of the top 20 tokens to their first peak, as shown in the chart below. On average, it takes 52.7 hours to ferment to the first wave peak, while it takes an average of 58.7 days to reach the current top 20 position, indicating that even if you miss the opening, there is still plenty of time to get in.
(Note from Odaily Planet Daily: The timing of the first wave peak does not have an objective statistical method; the peak time here is determined subjectively by the author, usually at a turning point where it has dropped over 50% after continuous rise, or a turning point where it has increased over 100% in one hour and then flattened out.)
Data Source
The pump market capitalization ranking can be obtained through the pump frontend API, which includes over ten pieces of information such as token address, symbol, creation and end times, etc. For top tokens, this API can be used to obtain information. The author’s tests show that tokens ranked in the top 2050 by market capitalization can be retrieved.
For tokens not in the ranking, the creation time can be queried through the frontend API. The last transaction of this API is the first buy transaction by the developer, and the creation time of the token can be obtained from this transaction.
