$BTC
1. Current situation analysis:
- The price is in a strong upward trend (+4.55%)
- Reached $99,160, nearly touching the psychological milestone of $100,000
- All MA lines are trending upwards, confirming the upward trend
- Volume remains stable
2. Technical indicators:
- RSI (49.71) is in the neutral zone, with room for increase
- MACD still maintains a positive signal
- Bollinger Bands are expanding in the upward direction
- Short MA lines are above long MA lines, confirming the uptrend
3. Forecast scenarios:
Scenario 1 (Positive - 70%):
- The price continues to rise to test $100,000
- Target price range: $100,000-102,000
- Nearest support: $97,800-98,000
Scenario 2 (Cautious - 30%):
- Adjustment to test the area of $96,000-97,000
- Could be due to short-term profit-taking at the psychological milestone of $100,000
4. Suggested trading strategy:
A. For BUY position:
- Wait for a pullback to the range of $97,000-98,000
- Split orders:
+ 40% at $98,000
+ 30% at $97,500
+ 30% at $97,000
- Stop loss: $95,000
- Take profit:
+ TP1: $100,000 (50% of position)
+ TP2: $102,000 (30% of position)
+ TP3: $103,000 (remaining 20%)
B. For SELL position:
- Only trade short at the area of $100,000
- Stop loss: $101,000
- Take profit: $97,000-98,000
⚠️ Recommendations:
- Be cautious when trading near the psychological milestone of $100,000
- Should trade according to the trend (buy dips)
- Set tight stop losses
- Monitor volume fluctuations and market news
- Do not all-in on one order
- Avoid FOMO when prices increase sharply