As the price of Bitcoin once again broke through its all-time high, MicroStrategy's stock price also soared, with an increase of more than 2,500% since mid-2020. This performance far exceeds Bitcoin's increase of about 660% in the same period, and even outperforms AI leader Nvidia.
Last night, MicroStrategy's stock price rose 15% during the day, reaching a high of $498.89, breaking the historical record again, and its market value also exceeded $100 billion for the first time. Currently, MicroStrategy has ranked among the top 100 US listed companies by market value, ranking 33rd on the Nasdaq, 89th on the S&P 500, and 85th on the overall US stock market.
As of now, MicroStrategy and its subsidiaries hold approximately 331,200 bitcoins, with a total cost of approximately $16.5 billion and an average purchase price of $49,874. Saylor has great enthusiasm for data analysis technology and has drawn a convincing roadmap for the future of this technology. Investors almost all signed contracts based on their confidence in him.
There was a software investor on Wall Street who always looked down on CEOs in the software industry during every meeting, thinking that they were "all garbage", but Saylor used his eloquence to force him to sign. At Bear Stearns, Saylor only took 20 minutes to get the boss of the company to subscribe for 10% of the shares. Fidelity Group, the world's largest fund company, is known as the industry's most difficult backcourt to break through, but in Saylor's words, he broke through the company "like a slam dunk" and crushed it.
MicroStrategy is also a pioneer in enterprise data analytics technology, which allows retail companies, pharmaceutical giants, banks, insurance companies and government agencies to discover important trends from large amounts of data through data analysis software. With this unique skill, MicroStrategy has won more than 300 long-term customers, including giants such as KFC, Pfizer, Disney, Allianz, Lowe's and ABC.
After going public in June 1998, MicroStrategy quickly became a darling of Wall Street. By March 2000, its stock price had reached 16 times its IPO price, with a market value of nearly $18 billion.
But then MicroStrategy was embroiled in an accounting scandal, and its stock price plummeted 62% in a single day. Saylor lost $6 billion in personal wealth, and even became the answer to a question in the puzzle game (Guess the Big Challenge): "Who lost the most money in a day?"
In March 2000, MicroStrategy's auditing firm PricewaterhouseCoopers asked it to restate its revenue and profits for the previous two years. After the re-audit, MicroStrategy's performance in 1998 and 1999 turned from a profit of $28 million to a loss of $37 million. Saylor, another founder and the company's financial director chose to pay an $11 million fine to the Securities and Exchange Commission to settle the relevant charges. As CEO, Saylor himself paid $8.3 million, but Saylor and others involved in the scandal did not admit any wrongdoing.
Saylor on the front page of the March 21, 2000 (Daily News)
By mid-2002, MicroStrategy's market value had plummeted to around $40 million, down 98% from its peak.
But then Saylor had an idea that would lead to MicroStrategy's resurgence. He foresaw the explosive growth of mobile devices, so he thought he could build programs to help customers analyze the vast amounts of data collected from users' iPhones and laptops.
Around 2009, Saylor gave his software for free to Sheryl Sandberg, Facebook's new chief operating officer. MicroStrategy's technology was important to Facebook, as it allowed sales staff to know how much revenue each product could bring in. Facebook eventually became a stable customer for MicroStrategy, bringing it millions of dollars in revenue each year, and Saylor also achieved sustained profitability with the help of mobile technology.
Become a giant of thought admired by all
Although his business is not particularly large, Saylor's personal life is luxurious. He has a villa in Miami Beach with 13 bedrooms and 12 bathrooms. He also has a $47 million Bombardier aircraft and two yachts. One of the yachts is named "Hal" in honor of the ship that brought his ancestors from Rotterdam, Netherlands to Philadelphia in 1736.
Saylor is also a party animal. In 2010, he held a wildlife-themed party for his birthday at the W Hotel in Washington, D.C., and took photos with a Burmese white python hanging around his neck. Every year before Thanksgiving, he holds a rock festival in SoHo, Manhattan, where guests dress up like rock stars.
In an interview with Fortune, Saylor's former colleagues said that in addition to his glamorous social life, Saylor also longed to have a wide influence in the technology industry and wanted to become a famous thought leader. In the words of a former employee, he wanted to be "a giant of thought admired by everyone."
However, according to former colleagues, Saylor was a moody, micromanaging person, and some said he was "too strict." Saylor was an extremely confident person, so he felt that he could do everything himself, so he was reluctant to delegate too much power to his subordinates.
But Saylor proved adept at spotting big trends, having published a best-selling book in 2012 (The Mobile Wave: How Mobile Intelligence Will Change Everything) that foresaw how mobile devices would revolutionize everything from retail to banking.
Saylor has built at least two notable new businesses within MicroStrategy. “He has this ability to see the future,” a former colleague of Saylor once said.
In the late 2000s, Saylor developed a monitoring platform that allowed homes and businesses to monitor their security systems through the website Alarm.com. He sold the business for $28 million in 2008. In the early 2010s, Saylor developed one of the first cloud-based automated voice response systems for call centers, naming it Angel. In 2013, Genesys acquired Angel for $110 million.
His former colleague said: "Saylor does not allow people to do things their own way, but without this freedom, people cannot grow. Of course, I think the advantages outweigh the disadvantages. Imagine if you followed his investment every step, first the Internet, then mobile technology and cloud computing!"
However, Saylor’s moody and volatile style also put a lot of pressure on management, which hindered the company’s development to a certain extent. Since 2018, he has changed three marketing directors, and a financial director left after working for a year. Saylor’s inability to retain excellent talents also explains why he did not expand and strengthen excellent ideas such as Angel and Alarm.com, but sold them to other companies.
Michael Saylor’s favorite game is Dungeons & Dragons, and he has always insisted on becoming a Dungeon Master because he “likes to create and control the situation.” Just as his choices that have been proven to be correct time and time again in his business journey are inseparable from Saylor’s judgment of the situation.
The entrepreneurial experience in the first half of his life has given Saylor enough adventure experience. Saylor believes in Christianity and has been baptized, but in his opinion, life in the real world is like playing a game with God. "Look at my ring - there is a dam, right? And a beaver. This beaver is playing a game with God in the waves. Edison is also playing a game with God. Rockefeller, Carnegie... these people are just like me, and this life is just playing a game."
The game of Michael Saylor's second half of life has begun.
Call Musk on board, why does Saylor want to buy Bitcoin?
In 2015, MicroStrategy's revenue was $134 million, but since then the company's operating income has been declining year by year. By 2018, revenue had dropped sharply to $3.981 million. In 2019, it lost $1 million. In the first three quarters of 2020, MicroStrategy's revenue loss was about $14.02 million.
At that time, the world was in the midst of the black swan of the epidemic, and Saylor had an epiphany. At that time, MicroStrategy had a large amount of cash on hand, and Saylor was worried that the Federal Reserve's loose monetary policy would exacerbate inflation, causing the cash in his hands to depreciate severely.
At its July 2020 quarterly meeting, Saylor announced that MicroStrategy planned to purchase Bitcoin, gold, and other assets to replace the cash still held on its balance sheet.
A month later, MicroStrategy used $250 million in cash on hand to buy 21,454 bitcoins. In September and December 2020, MicroStrategy spent $175 million and $50 million on bitcoins, respectively.
In December 2020, in order to further expand its Bitcoin holdings, MicroStrategy issued $650 million in convertible bonds, which usually have longer maturities, most of which mature in 2027-2028, and some are even zero-interest bonds. This enables the company to maintain low financing costs in the next few years and quickly use the bond financing obtained to purchase Bitcoin and add it directly to the company's balance sheet.
Through debt financing, MSTR has continued to increase its holdings of Bitcoin, which not only increased the number of Bitcoins in its balance sheet, but also significantly boosted the Bitcoin market price. As the proportion of Bitcoin in MSTR's asset portfolio continues to increase, the positive correlation between the company's stock market value and Bitcoin prices has further strengthened. According to MSTR Tracker, the correlation coefficient between MSTR stock prices and Bitcoin prices has recently surged to 0.55, setting a record high.
Since mid-to-late last year, MicroStrategy has adopted a new way to buy coins, that is, to buy more Bitcoin by issuing additional shares and selling its own MSTR shares. This strategy of "selling shares to buy coins" seems very stupid at first glance, which may not only hurt the stock price, but may even threaten the market positioning of MSTR as "leveraged Bitcoin". However, after a careful analysis of its logical chain, it is found that the additional issuance will not only not have a negative impact on the price of MSTR, but will make MSTR more valuable.
Related reading: (The strategy of "issuing bonds to buy coins" has not changed, why did the MSTR premium suddenly soar?)
When MicroStrategy issues additional shares to buy Bitcoin, the newly issued shares typically trade at a premium to their net asset value. With this premium, MicroStrategy will be able to buy more Bitcoin than the actual Bitcoin behind the individual shares when it sells each MSTR.
For example, we use the correlation coefficient between MSTR and Bitcoin to calculate that 36% of the value of each MSTR share represents the Bitcoin endorsed by the company. Without a premium, when MicroStrategy sells MSTR, it can only exchange for 36% of Bitcoin from the market. However, at present, the premium of MSTR to Bitcoin is about 2.74, which means that every time MicroStrategy sells a share of MSTR, it will be able to exchange for about 98% of Bitcoin.
This means that the company can use funds higher than the net assets of Bitcoin to increase its holdings of Bitcoin, thereby expanding its Bitcoin holdings on the balance sheet. The core of this strategy is that MSTR has increased the speed and scale of its Bitcoin holdings through high premium financing, which far exceeds the previous speed of "issuing bonds to buy coins".
According to the latest Form 8-K filing, MicroStrategy has managed to achieve a 41.8% Bitcoin yield in 2024, which from another perspective is equivalent to a net gain of 79,130 Bitcoins for shareholders, an average of about 246 Bitcoins per day - all without incurring the high costs associated with mining, which would take about 176 days for all miners around the world to achieve the same result.
As a result, Saylor created two firsts: one was to make MicroStrategy the first public company in history to purchase Bitcoin and incorporate it into its capital allocation strategy; the other was to be the first company that dared to borrow other people’s money to buy Bitcoin.
"Repairing the world's balance sheets"
Not only did Saylor buy it himself, he also recommended that his business tycoon friends buy it as well.
Musk, who is now on good terms with Trump as "Comrade Ma Baoguo", had not been so deeply involved in cryptocurrencies four years ago. In December 2020, Musk posted a slightly teasing picture of a monk with his hands clasped together and his eyes gazing upward devoutly, but unable to resist the temptation of Bitcoin. Saylor responded to Musk by suggesting that he "do something worth $100 billion" for Tesla shareholders, converting Tesla's balance sheet from US dollars to Bitcoin.
Musk asked, “Is such a large transaction possible?” Saylor responded, “Of course, I have purchased more than $1.3 billion in BTC in the past few months and would be happy to share my operating strategy with you privately.”
In February 2021, Musk’s Tesla disclosed that it had purchased $1.5 billion in Bitcoin using cash on its balance sheet and announced that it would begin accepting Bitcoin as a payment method for its products.
In October of this year, Saylor called on Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella again, saying, "If you want to make another trillion dollars for Microsoft shareholders, please contact me." According to a SEC document, Microsoft is preparing to discuss possible Bitcoin investments at its shareholders' meeting in December.
(Time) magazine once interviewed Saylor, and the reporter asked him at the beginning whether Bitcoin is an irrational boom, "Even if people don't believe that something has value, they will blindly join the gamble because they envy the success of others."
Facing this pointed question, Saylor answered confidently, "No, on the contrary, Bitcoin is a textbook example of a rational response to inflation. The so-called 'rational behavior' is to find a means of storing value that can maintain and increase its value. Speculation, on the other hand, is to suppress opponents through short selling, short squeezes, etc. This is called speculation. Investing in Bitcoin is not speculation at all! Bitcoin is a brand-new technology, comparable to Facebook and Google in the financial world, and has huge room for future appreciation."
The reporter then raised a more challenging question: "So why is Bitcoin so badly regarded?"
“A new paradigm means a radical change in the way we view the world, and vested interests often won’t accept this new thing. Our only hope lies in the next generation. Because unless there is a war or a very serious incident, these vested interests will change their minds, and young people are different.”
The reporter asked, "What are your ambitions?"
Saylor said only one thing: "I want to fix the world's balance sheets."
Michael Saylor's enthusiasm for Bitcoin is not just a business adventure, but also a belief. From a data analysis pioneer to a firm promoter of Bitcoin, he has driven the transformation of MicroStrategy with strong personal will and business insight, while also showing the market how to reshape a company through extreme risk-taking.
However, this gamble strategy has also raised questions in the market. Some analysts worry that MicroStrategy's high leverage exposure to Bitcoin may amplify the impact of market volatility on the company, especially when Bitcoin prices fluctuate sharply. In addition, although Saylor claims to repair the world's balance sheets, it remains to be seen whether such a vision can really stand the test of time.
Saylor once said: "Life is a game," and he obviously has no intention of stopping this game about Bitcoin.
Reference article: https://fortune.com/2022/08/03/michael-saylor-microstrategy-stock-bitcoin-bet-debt-outlook/
https://time.com/5947722/microstrategy-ceo-bitcoin/
Welcome to join the BlockBeats official community:
Telegram subscription group: https://t.me/theblockbeats
Telegram chat group: https://t.me/BlockBeats_App
Official Twitter account: https://twitter.com/BlockBeatsAsia
