The Fed's move has made global markets panic.
On Thursday, global markets showed a strange phenomenon: the dollar soared, while other assets, including the US stock market, fell. The US stock market, in particular, fell more than the last time this pattern appeared, and it seems that it has to prepare for the next continued decline. Even Bitcoin and Ethereum were not spared.
Behind all this is the weakening of the market's expectations for the Fed's interest rate cut.
Just this morning, Powell of the Federal Reserve made a hard-line speech, which means that they will be more cautious about monetary policy. The economy is doing well now, so there is no need to rush to cut interest rates. He also said that the inflation rate is slowly approaching their 2% target, but it has not yet reached it, and they will continue to work hard. However, there may be some ups and downs in this process.
On the same day, Kugler, another Fed governor, also made a similar speech, saying that it is possible to cut interest rates or suspend interest rate cuts, depending on the economic situation. He also mentioned the issue of inflation, saying that inflation in some areas is very high, which may affect the Fed's progress in fighting price increases.
Now, when the Fed considers cutting interest rates, it pays more attention to the risk of inflation.
Traders are not sure whether the Fed will cut rates again in December. Everyone thought it was very likely before, but now it seems that there is only a 56% chance, which is much less than yesterday.
In addition, the market is panicking about Trump. It is said that Trump's core team is circulating a memo that mentions his "100-day action" after taking office, which makes people look forward to it and fear it.
Highlights of the report:
1. Trump may make a big move, and his core team is looking at a plan for him to do a big thing after taking office.
2. The Fed's rate cut plan may change. There is an article that mentions Trump many times, and there may be some inside information we don't know.
3. The dollar has risen so much, will it continue to rise? We have analyzed it from multiple angles to tell you where the limit of this wave of dollar rise is.
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