The question of Ulbricht’s release has even found its way onto Polymarket, a prediction platform where users wager on political and societal outcomes. Bettors on Polymarket currently speculate a 77% chance that Trump will pardon Ulbricht, making him one of the top candidates in line for Trump’s potential pardon list. He matches individuals connected to the January 6 Capitol riot, who also boast a 77% chance.