#1. Judging the bull market stage: New challenges and opportunities in the mid-term
(1) Clarify the current stage: Mid-bull market
First, let's talk about what stage the current bull market is in. The answer is: Mid-bull market. Why do I say this? Since 2024, Bitcoin has broken through the previous historical high of 69,000, reaching a maximum of 77,000 USD. Although the increase seems limited, it has already pierced the peak of the previous round, indicating that the 'bull market' is already underway.
(2) Breaking the traditional perceptions of bull market characteristics
This round of the bull market is quite different from before; we can't use the old 'carving the boat to seek the sword' mentality anymore. Whether it's about the timing of the bull market's arrival, its duration, or judgments about sectors, altcoin seasons, and multipliers, we can't rely on old methods. This time, it has clearly broken the four-year rotation pattern; it has arrived early! Bitcoin's market cap is getting larger, and its price fluctuations will definitely become smaller over time, eventually resembling gold, with only small-scale fluctuations.
2. The relationship between the current state of altcoins and Bitcoin
(1) The differentiation between Bitcoin and altcoins
Most people hold "altcoins", which are coins other than Bitcoin. After Bitcoin broke historical highs, a problem arose: 90% of altcoins did not follow suit. Many do not understand that a bull market is a bull market for the entire coin circle, but Bitcoin is the boss in the coin circle. Sometimes, Bitcoin breaking new highs has little to do with altcoins. Currently, Bitcoin's market share has remained around 53% for a long time; those promising altcoins may have already risen, while those without potential might take a long time to raise, possibly waiting until the next four years.
(2) Increased difficulty in making money and market changes
The difficulty of making money has increased, but this isn't entirely a bad thing for us. It means that only those with a keen sense can make money in this market. If you stick to the old ways, you won't make money in this bull market. So, if you have suitable earnings, I advise you to take profits. Because in this bull market, our opponents are different. Previously, it was Grayscale, which only invested and was somewhat friendly to us (being the largest institutional support in the last bull market), but now it has changed to Wall Street, BlackRock, and these big players, including ETFs. Moreover, Bitcoin has become a value transfer tool for war-torn countries, complicating the situation further.
3. Disrupted consensus: Breaking out of old thinking
(1) Traditional consensus no longer applies
So far, several previously recognized consensus points are no longer applicable in this bull market. Let me summarize for you:
"Invest in new coins, not old ones"; people used to think new coins had potential, but that's not always the case now.
"Buy value coins"; the definition of value coins seems to have changed in this bull market.
"Follow institutional buying"; just because institutions buy doesn't mean it's always right.
"Meme coins have no value"; don't underestimate coins like WIF.
"A bull market every four years"; this time it came early.
"Retail investors can never beat institutions"; now retail investors also have a chance.
"Bitcoin market share determines altcoins"; this method doesn't work now.
"Ethereum is the signal for altcoin surges"; that perspective is no longer valid.
(2) Breaking consensus, embracing the new bull market
You may have heard these consensus points from many bloggers; people used to use them to judge the market. But I must tell everyone that in this bull market, you must forget these 8 points and clear your mind of historical data. Because consensus is like this, constantly established and constantly broken. Only by keeping up with the market rhythm can you make money in this bull market. Look at how Pepe and Ordi have performed, and there are many thousand-fold coins we don't even know about. We need to open our information gap and break out of those old ways of thinking to embrace this "new bull market"!
4. Some useful suggestions: Control desire, operate rationally
(1) Don't fantasize about catching the tail end
In this bull market, don't think you can earn all the profits. It's like eating fish; don't always think about eating the tail end, or you might get stuck by the bones. The market is very complex, and as it progresses, risks will increase; you need to know when to stop.
(2) Don't fantasize about earning it all
Don't be greedy, always thinking about earning all the money. The market changes too quickly, and it's impossible for anyone to grab all the profits. If you're too greedy, you might end up losing your capital.
(3) After earning target funds, let it sit for a month
If you've earned the funds you desire, don't rush to continue trading. Hold your coins and do nothing for a month. During this month, you can think carefully about what to do next. Once you've decided, determine whether to continue holding the coins or exchange them for money to do other things. This can help avoid making impulsive decisions that lead to mistakes, allowing your earnings to be more stable.
In short, this bull market is very different from previous ones. Everyone should maintain a clear mind and respond flexibly to market changes, so you can make money in the bull market while also protecting your earnings. I hope everyone has a good harvest in this bull market!
The market has returned above the trend, Ethereum has caught up and altcoins are surging, but be mindful of risks. Recently, I am preparing to ambush a coin that could skyrocket a hundredfold.
Free benefits are still open; focus on spot trading with contracts as a supplement. I've been urging everyone to hold onto their chips and not get off the train. This time, if you want to get back on, you'll have to chase the high prices!!!
#BTC创历史新高 #Solana涨势分析 #doge⚡ #RAY
