The US election is being broadcast live.

At 12 noon, Trump was already leading in Pennsylvania by nearly 200,000 votes.

How big a lead does he have to maintain in Pennsylvania to win the election?

This year, the Democratic Party seems to be planning to turn the tide by mailing ballots again.

In most battleground states, the results of counting on-site votes (physical votes) often show that the Republican Party is ahead.

However, the survey released by Musk shows that in this year's election, the Democratic Party's lead in mail-in ballots has dropped significantly, and the turnout for on-site voting on election day has reached an all-time high.

For example, in terms of mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania, the Democratic Party's advantage has shrunk by about 600,000 votes compared to the past, and this year there may only be a 400,000 vote advantage.

All these situations show that compared with four years ago, it has become much more difficult for the Democratic Party to turn the tables by mailing ballots.

According to the data at 12 o'clock, Trump is already leading by nearly 200,000 votes in Pennsylvania.

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If this lead can be expanded to 400,000 votes, his chances of winning Pennsylvania will be greatly increased.

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