Odaily Planet Daily News 10x Research pointed out in its market analysis that Trump's probability of winning on Polymarket has decreased from about 68% to 59%, although he still maintains a slight lead in all swing states. The average betting value from RealClearPolitics shows Trump's winning probability at 58.3%. Experts warn that this election is too close to call, as the outcome may depend on just one or two key swing states. Although polls show Trump has a better chance, the Democrats may still hold an advantage in these states.