Polymarket recently launched an investigation into four Trump whale accounts and found that these accounts are owned by a French trader who spent more than $30 million betting on Trump’s victory. It is estimated that if Trump wins a resounding victory, he will Earned $80 million in returns. (Preliminary summary: Trump’s Polymarket winning rate far exceeds Harris’s 28%. The CFTC calls for legislative supervision to follow the example of Taiwan in catching gamblers and blocking Internet domains?) (Background supplement: Trump’s Polymarket winning rate soared to 62%, experts: 4 support Trump’s main whale may distort data) In the last three days of the U.S. presidential election, the latest data from the well-known blockchain prediction market Polymarket shows that Trump, the former U.S. president and Republican presidential candidate who has publicly supported cryptocurrency many times this year, currently has a winning rate 58.1%. Although it has dropped nearly 9% from the peak of 67% at the end of October, it still leads by more than 16% with Democratic candidate Harris Harris. A French trader is behind Polymarket’s support for Sichuan’s giant whale. However, Trump’s sharp increase in winning rate on Polymarket in October has attracted widespread attention. It was previously revealed that it was suspected that tens of millions of dollars in support of Trump’s Sichuan whale were supported by four major whale accounts. Driven by betting. After Polymarket launched an investigation, it was announced last week that the four Trump whale accounts Fredi9999, Princess Caro, Michie and Theo4 are actually controlled by a French national who has extensive trading experience and financial services background, claiming that this person It’s taking a directional stance based on one’s personal views on the election. The Wall Street Journal reported today (2nd) that the Polymarket whale who calls himself Théo stressed in an exclusive interview this week that he personally has "absolutely no political purpose" and does not want to manipulate the US election. His goal is just to make money. According to him, he was a Frenchman who had lived in the United States and worked as a trader in a bank. He spent a total of more than $30 million betting on Trump's victory after concluding that polls underestimated Trump's support. He denied speculation that his tens of millions of bets were intended to "build momentum" for Trump. And claimed that the bets were funded entirely by his own money. Extended reading: Will Trump win big? 4 signs are clear, former Reagan analyst: There are more voters supporting it than expected! If Trump wins the election, the whale will make a huge profit of $80 million. WSJ estimates that if Théo’s predictions about Trump’s victory come true, he can get a return of more than $80 million, which is twice the amount of his investment. many. But if Harris wins, Théo could lose or lose most of the $30 million he says is the majority of his available liquid assets. Théo also admitted that since he was such a large trader on Polymarket that he was actually stuck and unable to exit his bet without causing the market to crash. He is currently very nervous about the results of the election, but he still believes that Trump’s chance of winning is as high as 80% to 90%, but he is also worried that his bet may be ruined due to unexpected last-minute developments. The Hechuan election continues to be stalemate. It is also worth noting that, in addition to Polymarket, other well-known prediction markets that allow users to bet on the election results have seen a decline in Trump’s winning rate: a summary of the presidential election betting odds from five major prediction markets shows that Trump The winning rate is 56.2%. Although it is still ahead of He Jinli's 43.3%, it has dropped significantly by 4.6% in the past week. In terms of traditional mainstream media polls, the election situation between the two parties is stalemate. Harris has a slight lead in some polls, but Trump has a slight lead in the seven major swing state polls. Whether Trump’s overwhelming voice on Polymarket and Twitter will be reflected in the general election remains to be seen after the U.S. election on the 5th. Related reports: Trump victory indicator) Polymarket betting leads Harris by 20% and is positively correlated with Bitcoin trends. Let’s be honest: Is Polymarket a good prediction tool? Federal Reserve's mouthpiece: Trump's election may trigger a "resurgence of inflation" crisis! U.S. Treasury yields hit a 3-month high "Polymarket's "30 million bet on Trump" giant whale under investigation: French people complaining about injustice are not campaigning, thinking they will make money" This article was first published on BlockTempo (Dong District Dong Trend-Most The most influential blockchain news media).