CoinVoice has learned that, according to Jinshi reports, according to CME 'Fed Watch': the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering by 25 basis points by November is 99.7%, with a probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged at 0%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December is 0%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 19.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 80.3%.
Before the non-farm payroll announcement, the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering by 25 basis points by November is 93.1%, with a probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged at 6.9%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 94.8%. [Original link]
