The amount of bets on the US election on Polymarket exceeded US$2.735 billion, and Trump's probability of winning was 65.5%.
Trump's main billionaire supporters:
Musk (CEO of Tesla) donated $119 million to the US Political Action Committee. (Other campaign donations are not included)
Miriam Adelson (Las Vegas Sands) donated $100 million to Protect America PAC.
Stephen Schwarzman (Blackstone Group) donated $419,600 to Trump's 47 Committee.
Diane Hendrix (ABC Supply) donated $15 million to Make America Great Again.
Tilman Fertitta — donated $487,300 to Trump 47 Committee.
Harris's top billionaire supporters:
Bill Gates (Microsoft) donated $50 million through an undisclosed nonprofit.
Dustin Moskovitz (Meta co-founder) donated $38 million to Future Forward PAC.
Reed Hastings (Netflix) donated $6.9 million to Republican Accountability PAC Anti(Trump).
Laurene Powell Jobs (Emerson Collective) donated $932,000 to the Harris Victory Fund.
George Soros (Soros Fund Management) donated $900,000 to the Harris Victory Fund.
Undisclosed donations: Harris receives a large amount of anonymous support through a 501(c)(4) nonprofit organization, making some donations opaque.
Total fundraising: Trump leads Harris with $281 million.
Moody's modeling predicts that Harris's chances of winning the election are as high as 55.5%.
JPMorgan Chase: Trump's victory will bring additional upside to Bitcoin and gold.
The Bank of Japan maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.25% and will continue to pay attention to economic and price trends.
The September PCE price index will be released tonight, and the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 96.1%.
Statistics of cryptocurrency inflow and outflow in the last 4 hours:
BlackRock currently holds more than 429,200 BTC, which is more than 2% of the total BTC supply, and the market value of its holdings exceeds US$30.86 billion.
BTC and ETH options with a notional value of approximately US$2.37 billion will expire and be delivered tomorrow. Among them, the expiring BTC options have a notional value of US$2.02 billion and a maximum pain point of US$69,000. The expiring ETH options have a notional value of US$350 million and a maximum pain point of US$2,550.
The Ethereum mainnet has seen a net outflow of $6 billion so far this year, with 83% flowing into the L2 network.
Microsoft shareholders have begun a preliminary vote on whether the company should invest in Bitcoin.
MicroStrategy plans to raise $42 billion in the next three years to buy more Bitcoin.
November 31st marks the 16th anniversary of the release of the Bitcoin white paper.
Russia will lift its ban on Bitcoin mining tomorrow and plans to build mining and artificial intelligence facilities.
If Bitcoin breaks through its historical high, the cumulative short order liquidation strength of mainstream CEX will reach 1.286 billion. Conversely, if Bitcoin falls below US$70,000, the cumulative long order liquidation strength of mainstream CEX will reach US$1.815 billion.
In the past 24 hours, the entire network’s liquidation amounted to US$110 million, and long positions liquidated US$72.9683 million.
The total Bitcoin contract position across the network was closed, exceeding US$43.326 billion, setting a new historical high.
The current cryptocurrency market cap is $2.54 trillion.
The U.S. SEC confirmed that it has received an application to convert the Grayscale Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC) into an ETF.
The founder of crypto financial services company Mytrade pleaded guilty to conspiracy to commit market manipulation and wire fraud, and the U.S. District Court scheduled his sentencing for February 27, 2025.
The total net asset value of the Ethereum spot ETF is US$7.335 billion, with a cumulative net outflow of US$494 million.
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The U.S. Treasury Department believes that the growth of stablecoins will increase the demand for Treasury bonds, and it is expected that $120 billion in stablecoin collateral will be invested in Treasury bonds.
U.S. Treasury Advisory Committee: USDT stablecoin has significant risks and should be replaced by CBDC.
Spot gold stood above $2,790 an ounce, setting a new historical high.
Potential candidate for Treasury Secretary in Trump's cabinet: will work with Musk to cut federal spending.
Musk was called to attend a hearing regarding the "million dollar" lottery.
Florida officials are considering a Bitcoin reserve for retirees, inspired by Trump’s support for hoarding BTC.
Focus on tomorrow's non-farm data:
